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Predicted Move

Predicted Move (Volatility) Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. The predicted move (volatility) % is based on our proprietary Volatility Prediction Model. We are expecting that stock price may likely move % in either direction by the end of the next regular trading session in Earnings reaction. The move may not necessarily be the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks in Earnings reaction helps in deciding whether to trade stocks or not prior to Earnings announcement.
  2. Taking advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings results by using Options strategies such as Spread and Straddle

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

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Upcoming Notable Earnings

Symbol/Company Earnings Date Predicted Move Since Last Earnings Est EPS
CCL - Carnival Corp Tue 19 Dec -
Before Open (4 Days)
2% 2.6% 0.50
MU - Micron Technology Inc Tue 19 Dec -
After Close (4 Days)
7% 23.6% 2.12
RHT - Red Hat Inc Tue 19 Dec -
After Close (4 Days)
6% 19.3% 0.50
BB - Wed 20 Dec -
Before Open (5 Days)
12% 15.6% -0.03
GIS - General Mills Inc Wed 20 Dec -
Before Open (5 Days)
1% 1.4% 0.82
BBBY - Bed Bath & Beyond Inc Wed 20 Dec -
After Close (5 Days)
5% -16.9% 0.36
KMX - Carmax Inc Thu 21 Dec -
Before Open (6 Days)
6% -2.5% 0.82
PAYX - Paychex Inc Thu 21 Dec -
Before Open (6 Days)
2% 0% 0.59
CAG - Conagra Brands Inc Thu 21 Dec -
Before Open (6 Days)
2% 11% 0.52

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Earnings Date

Market Cap

Average Daily Volume

Predicted Move After Earnings

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Post Notable Earnings Analysis

Symbol/Company Earnings Date EPS Surprise (%) Next Day
Price Change (%)
Since Last
Earnings (%)
JBL - Jabil Circuit Inc Thu 14 Dec After Close (1 days ago) -30.14% 0% 0%
ADBE - Adobe Systems Inc Thu 14 Dec After Close (1 days ago) 9.37% 0% 0%
ORCL - Oracle Corp Thu 14 Dec After Close (1 days ago) 0% 0% 0%
COST - Costco Wholesale Corp Thu 14 Dec After Close (1 days ago) 0.74% 0% 0%
CIEN - Ciena Corp Thu 7 Dec Before Open (8 days ago) -9.09% -1.94% 0.4%
DG - Dollar General Corp Thu 7 Dec Before Open (8 days ago) 4.26% 2.77% -0.1%
FNSR - Finisar Corp Thu 7 Dec After Close (8 days ago) -45% 1.22% 25.9%
AEO - American Eagle Outfitters Inc Wed 6 Dec Before Open (9 days ago) -5.13% 2.42% 7%
HRB - H & R Block Inc Wed 6 Dec Before Open (9 days ago) 2.74% 10.27% 2.3%

Earnings News

Costco quarterly profit beats on online sales strength

Retailer Costco Wholesale on Thursday reported quarterly profit and revenue that beat analysts' estimates, as its investments in online business paid off.

CNBC  Fri, 15 Dec 2017 11:51 GMT

Adobe profit beats on strength in its digital media business

Photoshop maker Adobe Systems reported a better-than-expected revenue and profit, driven by strength in its digital media business.

CNBC  Fri, 15 Dec 2017 11:07 GMT

Oracle falls despite earnings beat

Oracle stock fell slightly after the company filed results for the quarter that ended on Nov. 30, during which it unveiled "autonomous" database software.

CNBC  Thu, 14 Dec 2017 21:10 GMT

Honeywell ups sales forecast, predicts earnings at top of range

Honeywell forecast its fourth-quarter earnings at the top of its previous guidance and raised its forecast for both quarterly and full-year 2017 sales.

CNBC  Wed, 13 Dec 2017 13:44 GMT

Lilly forecasts 2018 profit and revenue largely above estimates

Eli Lilly forecast 2018 earnings and revenue largely above estimates in part due to strong demand for diabetes drug Trulicity and psoriasis drug Taltz.

CNBC  Wed, 13 Dec 2017 13:25 GMT

Verizon will launch over-the-top service before year-end with NFL as key piece, analyst predicts

Verizon will leave its earnings "plateau" behind in 2018 thanks to its new over-the-top deal, according to Nomura.

CNBC  Tue, 12 Dec 2017 14:44 GMT

American Eagle forecasts strong holiday-quarter earnings

American Eagle Outfitters forecast strong earnings for the key holiday season and delivered third-quarter comparable sales ahead of Wall Street targets.

CNBC  Wed, 06 Dec 2017 14:00 GMT

Sears reports narrower loss, but sales mark sixth year of declines

Last month, Sears said it struck a deal that allow for the sale of 140 Sears properties.

CNBC  Thu, 30 Nov 2017 10:33 GMT

Jeweler Tiffany's third-quarter sales rises 3%

Jeweler Tiffany's sales rose 3 percent in the third quarter, helped by strong demand for its fashion jewelry.

CNBC  Wed, 29 Nov 2017 11:50 GMT

Uber's third-quarter loss widens to $743 million

Uber's quarterly adjusted losses widened to $743 million, up 14 percent from the previous quarter, the FT reported.

CNBC  Wed, 29 Nov 2017 05:20 GMT

UnitedHealth shares dip on disappointing earnings forecast for 2018

The insurer projects revenue of $223 billion and $225 billion for 2018, only marginally higher than analysts estimated.

CNBC  Mon, 27 Nov 2017 22:06 GMT

Deere tops 4th-quarter estimates, sees strong earnings in 2018

U.S. tractor maker Deere's profit rose 79 percent year-over-year in the fourth quarter, as it sold more farm machinery in overseas markets.

CNBC  Wed, 22 Nov 2017 11:22 GMT

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