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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

Adobe Beats Earnings and Raises Guidance. Why the Stock Is Falling Anyway.

Posted on Jun 12, 2026 by Ian Cooper

Adobe Beats Earnings and Raises Guidance. Why the Stock Is Falling Anyway.

Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) just delivered another quarter of impressive growth, beating Wall Street expectations on both earnings and revenue due to surging demand for AI. The company also raised its full-year guidance, a move that would normally send shares higher. 

Unfortunately, investor enthusiasm quickly faded after the company announced that CFO Dan Durn would be leaving the company, triggering a wave of analyst downgrades.

  • Stifel downgraded Adobe shares to Hold from Buy and significantly reduced its price target to $200. Analysts acknowledged the company’s strong financial performance but suggested that the stock could face challenges as investors digest the CFO transition.
  • Wolfe Research also lowered its rating on Adobe to Peer Perform from Outperform, reflecting a more cautious stance despite the company’s solid operating results.
  • Bernstein also lowered its price target on ADBE to $379 from $447, citing uncertainty over the departure of the CFO. 
  • Meanwhile, Evercore ISI downgraded the stock to Hold from Buy and lowered its price target to $225. The firm pointed to uncertainty surrounding the leadership change.

For the second quarter, Adobe reported adjusted earnings of $5.96 per share on revenue of $6.62 billion. Both figures exceeded analyst expectations. Wall Street had been looking for earnings of approximately $5.82 per share on revenue of $6.45 billion.

The market’s reaction highlights a growing trend among investors. In today’s environment, strong earnings are often not enough to satisfy Wall Street. Investors increasingly want clear visibility into future leadership, execution, and competitive positioning, particularly for companies operating in fast-moving AI markets. Adobe’s results demonstrated that demand remains healthy, but the CFO announcement created a new variable that analysts felt compelled to address.

AI Continues to Fuel Abode Growth



In fact, according to CEO Shantanu Narayen in the company’s earnings release, “Adobe delivered record revenue of $6.62 billion in Q2 reflecting strong AI-driven demand across our customer groups.”

Even better, thanks to AI demand, the company also raised its full-year outlook. It now expects full-year EPS of between $24.35 and $24.45 on revenue ranging from $26.5 billion to $26.6 billion. The updated guidance came in ahead of many analyst expectations and reinforced the view that AI-related demand continues to support the company’s growth trajectory.

Adobe has been aggressively integrating generative AI capabilities across its product portfolio, including Creative Cloud, Acrobat, and Experience Cloud. The company’s Firefly AI models continue to gain adoption among both enterprise and individual customers, allowing users to generate images, edit content, and streamline workflows. These innovations are helping Adobe defend its competitive position while creating new opportunities to monetize AI-powered features.

Under normal circumstances, such a combination of strong earnings, record revenue, and increased guidance would likely have pushed the stock higher. Instead, investors focused on a major executive change that introduced uncertainty into the investment story.

The good news is that weakness may have created a buy opportunity – especially as the company continues to benefit from an unstoppable AI boom. We also have to remember that Adobe is one of the dominant players in creative software, with millions of users relying on its products for professional design, marketing, video editing, and document management. 

adobe-StockEarnings

The Real Story Here

While Wall Street is currently focused on the departure of Adobe’s CFO, the company’s underlying business remains exceptionally strong. Record revenue, an earnings beat, and higher guidance suggest that demand for Adobe’s AI-powered products continues to accelerate. Leadership transitions can create short-term uncertainty, but they do not necessarily change the long-term investment thesis. For investors willing to look beyond the immediate headlines, the recent pullback may present an opportunity to gain exposure to one of the leading beneficiaries of the AI revolution at a more attractive valuation. 

The key question for investors is whether the CFO change represents a fundamental shift in strategy or simply a temporary distraction. Based on the company’s latest results, there is little evidence that Adobe’s growth engine is slowing. If AI adoption continues at its current pace, the company appears well-positioned to deliver additional revenue and earnings growth over the coming quarters.

Over the last 26 years, he’s taught thousands of investors how to trade news flow and herd mentality using a unique blend of technical and fundamental analysis. Cooper was among the few analysts to spot the financial crisis of 2008, the top of subprime and Alt-A, the death of Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, and New Century Financial, and even the Dow’s collapse to 6,500, as well as its recovery. He even called for gold to rally well above $1.500 when it traded under $600. At the moment, Cooper makes use of technical, fundamental and news analysis, to help individual investors grow their wealth. He’s a firm believer that hard work and thorough research will lead to investment success.

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