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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

Amazon’s Record Margins Couldn’t Stop a 7% Sell-Off

Posted on Oct 30, 2026 by Grayson Cavern

Amazon’s Record Margins Couldn’t Stop a 7% Sell-Off

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) grew Q3 revenue 12% to $201.9 billion, while earnings per share came in at $1.89 as operating income surged 61% to a record $28.1 billion, pushing its operating margin to a record 13.9%. AWS revenue jumped 39% to $46 billion, yet Amazon’s trailing 12-month free cash flow swung from a $14.8 billion inflow to a $42.4 billion outflow as the company ramps up AI infrastructure spending.

Chief executive officer (CEO) Andy Jassy is expecting AWS growth to top 40% in both 2027 and 2028. That means investors now have to weigh how much that growth is worth against Amazon’s planned $220 billion in capital expenditures for 2026.

AWS Is Growing Fast Enough to Change the Story



Amazon generated $201.9 billion in third-quarter revenue, up 12% year over year, while operating income climbed to $28.1 billion from $17.4 billion. Its 13.9% operating margin was the highest in the company’s history, showing that Amazon is getting more profit from its sales even as it continues investing heavily in technology and infrastructure.

AWS is driving much of that improvement. Revenue rose 39% to $46 billion, its fastest growth in nearly five years, while operating income increased to $17.8 billion from $11.4 billion. AWS now has an annualized revenue run rate of $184 billion, giving Amazon a much larger and more profitable cloud business to build on.

Jassy was direct about what he thinks those investments are delivering, saying AWS revenue growth exceeded 39% in the quarter and that he expects growth above 40% in both 2027 and 2028. That forecast tells me Amazon sees demand continuing well beyond the current AI spending boom.

There is evidence behind his confidence. Amazon said Fortune 500 spending on its Bedrock inference service grew nearly sevenfold year over year, while total Bedrock token volume increased nearly 17 times. Those figures point to companies using AWS for more AI workloads, which can create recurring demand for the cloud infrastructure Amazon is building.

I want to see that momentum continue because AWS is doing more than adding sales. Its operating income rose by billions of dollars, giving Amazon a stronger source of earnings to support investments elsewhere in the business. The question is how much of that progress will reach shareholders after Amazon pays for the next round of infrastructure.

Retail Is Improving, but Free Cash Flow Is Taking the Hit

Amazon’s retail operations deserve more credit than they often receive in an AI-focused market. North America revenue increased 6% to $112.9 billion, while operating income climbed to $8.7 billion from $4.8 billion. International revenue rose 5% to $43.1 billion, with operating income increasing to $1.6 billion from $1.2 billion.

The gains suggest Amazon is getting better at managing the cost of serving customers. Its faster delivery network and broader product selection are helping it compete, while improvements in operating efficiency are allowing more revenue to reach the bottom line.

The cash flow figures, however, show where investors have reason to hesitate. Operating cash flow for the trailing 12 months increased 29% to $168.3 billion, yet free cash flow swung to an outflow of $42.4 billion from an inflow of $14.8 billion a year earlier. Amazon attributed the change primarily to a $94.8 billion year-over-year increase in net purchases of property and equipment, driven largely by AI investment.

Amazon continues to expect approximately $220 billion in cash capital expenditures for 2026. That is an enormous commitment, and the company is making it while free cash flow has already turned negative on a trailing-year basis.

I don’t see that as proof the investment is failing. Amazon is adding capacity to serve demand that is already showing up in AWS revenue and usage. Still, investors need evidence that the new infrastructure will generate enough future cash to justify the spending. Faster AWS growth helps make the case, but the return on that spending remains the part I’m watching most closely.

Tape Responded With A Sharp Sell-Off

The stock chart shows how much work Amazon has left with investors. AMZN fell to $225.97, down 7.31%, breaking below its recent support area around $245 to $250. The price also sits below its 20-day moving average near $253.67, its 50-day average near $253.99, and its 200-day average near $243.33.

I would want to see the stock reclaim the $243 to $254 area before treating this selloff as a buying opportunity with stronger technical support. Until then, the price action suggests investors are reassessing how much they are willing to pay while free cash flow remains under pressure.

amazon - StockEarnings

AMZN Has to Find Its Footing After the Sell-Off

The earnings picture also needs context around net income. Amazon reported $20.7 billion in net income, or $1.89 per diluted share, compared with $21.2 billion and $1.95 a year earlier. The decline was driven primarily by $9.5 billion in pretax gains from its Anthropic investments that boosted the year-ago quarter. That means the year-over-year decline does not tell the full story of the improvement in Amazon’s operating business.

For the fourth quarter, the company expects revenue of $240 billion to $247 billion and operating income of $28.5 billion to $33.5 billion. It also expects advertising revenue to grow in the high teens. Those figures give Amazon another opportunity to show that its retail, advertising, and cloud operations can keep growing while it funds its infrastructure expansion.

All told, operating performance is improving, and AWS is giving Jassy a credible reason to keep investing. My view turns on whether that growth can eventually ease the cash flow burden. Record margins are a meaningful step forward, but the retail company still has to prove that its massive AI buildout can deliver returns that match its cost.

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