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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

AbbVie’s Q3 Shows Why It’s a Biopharma Stock Built to Hold

Posted on Nov 02, 2026 by Chris Markoch

AbbVie’s Q3 Shows Why It’s a Biopharma Stock Built to Hold

 AbbVie (NYSE: ABBV) just handed long-term investors another reason to stay patient. The company’s Q3 2026 earnings, released Oct. 30, beat expectations on revenue and earnings. Management raised full-year guidance again. The board also approved another dividend increase. 

None of that is new for AbbVie. And that’s the point. 

Many biopharma stocks trade on binary events. A trial reads out, and shares soar or sink. AbbVie has built something different: a diversified, cash-generating business that keeps compounding through patent cliffs that would sink weaker companies. 

The Humira cliff was supposed to be a test. Humira once generated more than $20 billion a year. In the third quarter, it brought in just $683 million, down 31% from a year ago. Yet AbbVie’s total revenue still grew more than 10%. 

ABBV stock traded near record highs heading into the report, up roughly 28% year-to-date. Some investors will see that as a reason to wait for a pullback. That may be true for traders. But for long-term investors, the Q3 earnings report reinforces why AbbVie continues to be one of the best buy-and-hold options in biopharma. 

The case rests on four pillars. The immunology franchise is still accelerating. The chart looks constructive on any timeframe. The dividend keeps climbing. And free cash flow is funding what comes after its two biggest drugs, with room for more deals. 

A Clean Beat Behind a Misleading Headline 



AbbVie reported net revenue of $17.40 billion, up 10.3% year-over-year. That topped the consensus estimate of about $17.32 billion. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $3.82, ahead of the $3.73 consensus and seven cents above the company’s own guidance midpoint. 

Headlines noted that adjusted EPS more than doubled. That is technically true but misleading. The year-ago quarter absorbed a $1.50-per-share charge for acquired research and milestones. Investors who focus on that number miss the real story. 

The real story is profitability. AbbVie’s adjusted operating margin reached 48.7%. Management lifted full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $13.95–$13.99, up from $13.76–$13.96. It also raised revenue guidance by $200 million, bringing this year’s total increase to $800 million. 

Skyrizi and Rinvoq Keep Outrunning Expectations 

Immunology remained the engine. The segment generated $9.17 billion, up 16.6% on an operational basis. 

Skyrizi led the way with $5.78 billion in sales, up 22.9%. Rinvoq added $2.71 billion, up 24.3%. Together, the two drugs produced about 12 times Humira’s quarterly revenue. Management says Skyrizi now captures roughly one in two new or switching psoriasis patients. 

AbbVie raised Skyrizi’s full-year sales forecast for the third time. It now expects $21.8 billion from Skyrizi and $10.3 billion from Rinvoq. Combined, the pair should add about $6 billion in growth this year, despite new competition. 

The runway keeps getting longer. The FDA approved subcutaneous Skyrizi induction for Crohn’s disease. Rinvoq won European approval in vitiligo and alopecia areata, with U.S. filings under review. 

Immunology isn’t carrying the load alone, either. Neuroscience revenue rose 19.5% to $3.39 billion, powered by Vraylar, Botox Therapeutic, Ubrelvy and Qulipta. 

The Chart Looks Compelling on Any Timeframe 

Fundamentals tell investors what to own. Charts help them judge how the market is treating it. With AbbVie, both point the same way. 

One-year chart: AbbVie spent last winter in a sideways range between roughly $210 and $240. A spring selloff pushed shares to about $192 in late April. Then the trend turned. The stock reclaimed its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) in late May and gapped higher on heavy volume in late June, when the Apogee deal was announced. 

Since then, the chart has printed higher highs and higher lows. Pullbacks in August and September stopped near the rising 50-day SMA, now about $269. On earnings day, shares hit a record $298.74 intraday and closed at $294.89, up 1.4%. The MACD sits above its signal line and is curling higher. Momentum is rebuilding, not fading. 

abbvie - StockEarnings

Five-year chart: The weekly chart tells a longer version of the same story. After rallying to about $175 in 2022, shares consolidated between roughly $135 and $170 through 2023. Those were the years Humira biosimilars hit the U.S. market. Investors who sold then acted on perception. The fundamentals were already shifting to Skyrizi and Rinvoq. 

Since breaking out in early 2024, AbbVie has climbed a steady staircase above its rising 50-week SMA. Each major dip, in spring 2025 and again in spring 2026, found buyers near that average. The stock has more than doubled from its late-2021 level near $115. Weekly MACD now sits at its highest reading of the entire period. 

abbvie - StockEarnings

Whether an investor looks at 12 months or five years, the picture is the same: an uptrend that keeps getting bought. One honest caution applies. Shares sit about 9% above the 50-day SMA and roughly 25% above the 50-week SMA. That stretch could bring a pause in the coming weeks. For a buy-and-hold investor, a retest of the $270 area would be an opportunity, not a warning. 

A Dividend That Keeps Climbing 

Income investors got their annual raise. AbbVie lifted its quarterly dividend 5.2%, from $1.73 to $1.82 per share. The new rate begins with the Feb. 16, 2027 payment to shareholders of record on Jan. 15. 

That works out to $7.28 per share annually. At the Oct. 30 close of $294.89, the forward yield is about 2.5%. 

The longer record is more impressive. AbbVie has raised its quarterly dividend by 355% since its 2013 spinoff from Abbott Laboratories. It is a member of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats, and it qualifies as a Dividend King when Abbott’s history is included. 

Some screens flag a GAAP payout ratio near 200%. That is another case of perception versus fundamentals. GAAP earnings are weighed down by non-cash amortization and acquisition charges. Measured against the midpoint of adjusted EPS guidance, the new dividend represents a payout ratio of roughly 52%. 

What Comes After Skyrizi and Rinvoq? Look at AbbVie’s Track Record 

The strongest objection to AbbVie is concentration. Skyrizi and Rinvoq produced nearly half of third-quarter revenue. Investors who lived through the Humira cliff fairly ask what happens when these drugs face their own. 

The best answer is AbbVie’s history. Skeptics asked the same question about Humira for a decade. AbbVie answered by building two successors that now outsell Humira’s peak. The company has shown it can see a cliff coming and pay to bridge it. 

The $10.9 billion acquisition of Apogee Therapeutics, completed in the third quarter, is the next bridge. It is AbbVie’s largest deal since Allergan. The company paid $135.11 per share in cash. 

Apogee’s lead asset is zumilokibart, a long-acting antibody targeting IL-13 for atopic dermatitis. In a Phase 2 study, all three dose regimens met their primary endpoint. Early data support maintenance dosing as infrequently as once or twice a year. That could be a meaningful convenience edge in a market now dominated by Dupixent. 

Apogee also brings APG273, a combination targeting IL-13 and TSLP in asthma. AbbVie sees mega-blockbuster potential across the pipeline, meaning peak sales above $10 billion. 

Investors should be clear-eyed about timing. AbbVie doesn’t expect the deal to add to adjusted EPS until 2032. This is a long-term bet — which is exactly why it suits long-term shareholders. 

Apogee isn’t the only shot on goal. Lutikizumab posted positive Phase 3 results in hidradenitis suppurativa. The FDA approved Juvmo for Parkinson’s disease. AbbVie also filed for approval of etentamig in multiple myeloma and is advancing an obesity candidate, ABBV-295. 

Free Cash Flow Funds the Next Deal — and the Dividend 

Apogee is unlikely to be AbbVie’s last deal, and the cash flow statement explains why. AbbVie generated about $14 billion of free cash flow in the first nine months of 2026, according to CFO Scott Reents. The company also ended September with $10.8 billion in cash. 

At that pace, annual free cash flow runs near $18 billion to $19 billion. The new dividend will cost roughly $12.9 billion a year. That leaves about $6 billion annually after paying shareholders, before any new borrowing. 

Apogee cost $10.9 billion. In other words, AbbVie can fund an Apogee-sized deal roughly every two years from excess cash flow alone. Add modest borrowing, and the pace can be faster. The company has done exactly that, adding ImmunoGen and Cerevel in 2024 before Apogee this year. 

There is a limit. Management is targeting net leverage of about two times within two to three years. That likely keeps future deals in the bolt-on range rather than another Allergan. For shareholders, that may be a feature. Disciplined, mid-sized deals for late-stage assets are how AbbVie built its bridge past Humira. 

That brings the story back to the dividend. Each dollar of free cash flow does two jobs. It pays shareholders today and buys growth for tomorrow. Investors collect a roughly 2.5% yield, rising every year, while AbbVie builds its next Skyrizi. The dividend effectively pays investors to hold. 

Why AbbVie Stock Is a Buy-and-Hold Biopharma Pick 

AbbVie isn’t cheap after a strong run, and risks remain. Drug-pricing reform, rising competition in immunology, and acquisition-related debt all deserve attention. 

But buy-and-hold investing isn’t about finding the perfect entry. It’s about owning businesses that keep getting stronger. AbbVie’s Q3 report shows a company growing double digits after losing its biggest drug, raising guidance, raising its dividend, and investing in its next growth chapter. 

For investors seeking a biopharma stock to own for the next decade, AbbVie remains one of the best choices available. 

A former marketing copywriter turned freelance financial writer and market analyst. I have a passion for delivering insights to investors. I write regularly about stocks for StockEarnings and MarketBeat. Posts are not advice.

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