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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

Berkshire Hathaway Is Buying Lennar Stock. Why Now?

Posted on Sep 23, 2026 by Ian Cooper

Berkshire Hathaway Is Buying Lennar Stock. Why Now?

Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-B) is buying more of Lennar (NYSE: LEN) at an uncomfortable time for homebuilders. Mortgage rates are rising, many buyers are struggling with monthly payments, and Lennar just reported a difficult quarter. Yet Berkshire bought approximately 2.7 million of the company’s Class A shares over three trading days.

So, what does Berkshire see in a stock that has taken such a beating? The appeal may be the very thing making other investors nervous: a housing slowdown. If Berkshire believes today’s pressures will eventually ease, it can buy a large homebuilder while expectations are low. That is a long-term argument, though. Lennar’s near-term problems are real.

Why Homebuilders Are Under Pressure



For a potential buyer, the challenge is straightforward. A higher mortgage rate means a higher monthly payment, even if the price of the house stays the same. Freddie Mac reported that the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate reached 6.95% for the week of September 17. That was up from 6.76% the previous week and 6.26% a year earlier. Those changes can determine whether a household qualifies for a loan or decides to keep renting. 

Builders have ways to respond. They can offer mortgage rate incentives, adjust prices or build smaller homes. But those measures cost money. A builder may keep sales moving while earning less on each home it delivers.

That tension showed up in Lennar’s latest results. 

In its fiscal third quarter, the company delivered 20,840 homes, down 3% from a year earlier. New orders fell 9% to 20,879 homes, while total revenue came in at $8.0 billion. Lennar’s gross margin on home sales was 15.8%. 

The company said higher mortgage rates and weaker confidence were causing more customers to delay a purchase. That is a tough environment for any builder trying to plan construction, manage costs and protect profit margins. 

Why Berkshire’s Purchase Stands Out

Berkshire already has substantial ties to housing. In July, it completed its acquisition of Taylor Morrison, adding a national homebuilder to its existing site-built operations. Its Clayton businesses also give it experience across other parts of the housing market. Buying Lennar shares adds another investment in the sector, although owning stock is different from running a company. The Lennar purchase also shows a willingness to look past a weak quarter. 

Investors can still see the possible logic. Lennar is a large, established builder. If mortgage rates eventually ease and more buyers return, it could be better placed to benefit than a smaller rival with fewer resources. In the meantime, Berkshire appears comfortable increasing its exposure while the market focuses on the downturn.

There is a reason to be cautious about that argument. Lower rates are not guaranteed, and affordability involves more than borrowing costs. Home prices, wages, insurance and the supply of available homes all affect what buyers can manage. Lennar may need to keep offering incentives to close sales, which could continue to squeeze margins.

LEN Stock Technical Analysis: Can Berkshire’s Buying Spark a Rebound?

LEN stock closed at $83.06 on September 22, rebounding 6.38% after Berkshire’s purchase was disclosed. The move pushed LEN back above its 20-day moving average, but the stock remains below its 50-day moving average near $84.01 and well below its 200-day moving average near $95.83. That leaves the longer-term chart under pressure despite the sharp one-day rally.

Near-term resistance appears around $84 to $85, while technical levels identify support around $81, $79 and the recent 52-week low near $75.70. RSI around 51 is close to neutral, suggesting the latest rally has improved momentum without pushing the stock into technically overbought territory. A sustained move above the 50-day average would provide a more meaningful test of whether LEN can extend its rebound.

lennar - StockEarnings

How Lennar Compares With Other Homebuilders

Lennar isn’t facing these challenges alone. PulteGroup (NYSE: PHM) and D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI) are also dealing with an environment shaped by elevated mortgage rates and affordability pressures. PulteGroup shares were still about 18% below their 52-week high as of September 17, while D.R. Horton shares were also trading below their recent peak.

lennar - StockEarnings

The broader pressure on homebuilders has included weaker demand and rising cancellations, making Lennar’s struggles part of a larger industry story rather than an isolated problem. That makes Berkshire’s Lennar purchase particularly notable: the company is increasing its housing exposure while the industry’s operating environment remains challenging.

lennar - StockEarnings

What Investors Should Watch Next

The most useful sign may be new orders. If more buyers begin signing contracts without Lennar having to offer costly incentives, it would suggest demand is improving in a way that can support earnings.

Berkshire’s buying gives Lennar a notable vote of confidence. It does not make the housing slowdown disappear or settle when conditions will improve. For now, the story is simple: Berkshire sees enough potential to buy during a difficult stretch, while the company still has to show that it can turn housing demand into stronger profits.

Over the last 26 years, he’s taught thousands of investors how to trade news flow and herd mentality using a unique blend of technical and fundamental analysis. Cooper was among the few analysts to spot the financial crisis of 2008, the top of subprime and Alt-A, the death of Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, and New Century Financial, and even the Dow’s collapse to 6,500, as well as its recovery. He even called for gold to rally well above $1.500 when it traded under $600. At the moment, Cooper makes use of technical, fundamental and news analysis, to help individual investors grow their wealth. He’s a firm believer that hard work and thorough research will lead to investment success.

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