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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

AMAT Stock: A Strong Earnings Beat Isn’t Enough to Win Over Wall Street

Posted on Nov 13, 2026 by Ian Cooper

AMAT Stock: A Strong Earnings Beat Isn’t Enough to Win Over Wall Street

Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) just gave investors another reason to pay attention to the companies supplying the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. The semiconductor equipment maker reported strong quarterly growth, record adjusted operating margins and an outlook that topped Wall Street’s expectations.

Its results suggest chipmakers remain willing to spend heavily on the equipment needed to produce increasingly powerful semiconductors. Still, the stock’s reaction was mixed. It seems the strong results were welcome, but investors wanted more.

A Strong Quarter Beyond the Headline Numbers



For the fourth quarter of its 2026 fiscal year, Applied Materials reported revenue of $10.41 billion, up 53% from a year earlier. Adjusted earnings reached $4.16 per share. Both figures exceeded expectations, which called for revenue of $10.3 billion and adjusted earnings of $4.06 per share.

Profitability also improved. Applied Materials posted a record adjusted operating margin of 35.3%, meaning it retained about 35 cents of operating profit from each dollar of sales before interest and taxes, on that adjusted basis. Management also reported its 14th consecutive quarter of year-over-year gross margin improvement. 

Applied Materials also generated about $2.6 billion in quarterly free cash flow and returned more than $2.4 billion through dividends and buybacks. 

AI Spending Is Creating More Equipment Demand

CEO Gary Dickerson said the company’s Semiconductor Systems business was on track to grow more than 40% in calendar 2026. He pointed to AI as an additional source of semiconductor demand and a potential driver of revenue and profit growth over several years.

The opportunity also involves more than adding factories. Increasingly complex chips require more sophisticated manufacturing techniques. Advanced packaging, for example, helps connect multiple chips within a single package. Process control helps manufacturers identify problems and improve production consistency. Both become increasingly important as customers seek better performance from expensive semiconductor designs.

The Forecast Points to Continued Momentum

Applied Materials expects fiscal first-quarter 2027 revenue between $10.6 billion and $11.6 billion. The $11.1 billion midpoint exceeds the $10.85 billion consensus cited in the supplied earnings coverage. Adjusted earnings are expected to range from $4.15 to $4.55 per share. The $4.35 midpoint also exceeds the $4.24 analysts anticipated.

In its earnings presentation, Applied Materials said its largest customers were providing forecasts covering eight quarters and placing orders earlier. Management expects the wafer fabrication equipment market to grow more than 30% in 2027.

With that, Morgan Stanley maintained its Equal-weight rating while lowering its price target to $507 from $538. “The company is executing strongly in advanced packaging and process control, although the scale of these businesses limits their contribution to overall revenue growth,” added the firm, as quoted by Seeking Alpha.

JPMorgan retained an Overweight rating but reduced its target to $500 from $660, citing a broader decline in semiconductor equipment valuations. Jefferies viewed the results as evidence of a strong industry cycle, while suggesting the outlook largely matched investors’ existing expectations.

“The results reinforce the strength of the current cycle and though the initial outlook for C27 looks strong, we expect this is largely in-line with investor expectations heading into the print,” analysts at Jefferies said.

What Comes Next for AMAT Stock?

Applied Materials has a compelling growth story, but its stock still has to earn investors’ confidence. Strong demand, improving profitability and healthy cash flow give the company a solid foundation. The next step is turning customers’ expansion plans into equipment shipments and sustained earnings growth.

For investors, that makes AMAT stock worth watching during periods of weakness. A pullback could create a more attractive entry point if the business continues to deliver. But price matters, even for a company benefiting from AI spending. The strongest investment case would combine continued operating momentum with a valuation that leaves room for potential delays or slower growth.

amat - StockEarnings

Over the last 26 years, he’s taught thousands of investors how to trade news flow and herd mentality using a unique blend of technical and fundamental analysis. Cooper was among the few analysts to spot the financial crisis of 2008, the top of subprime and Alt-A, the death of Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, and New Century Financial, and even the Dow’s collapse to 6,500, as well as its recovery. He even called for gold to rally well above $1.500 when it traded under $600. At the moment, Cooper makes use of technical, fundamental and news analysis, to help individual investors grow their wealth. He’s a firm believer that hard work and thorough research will lead to investment success.

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