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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

SMCI Stock: Can a Massive Q3 Earnings Beat Spark a Powerful Rebound?

Posted on Nov 04, 2026 by Ian Cooper

SMCI Stock: Can a Massive Q3 Earnings Beat Spark a Powerful Rebound?

Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) is busy ringing up sales. The company’s latest quarterly results offered investors plenty to like. Earnings beat expectations, revenue nearly quadrupled, and it posted a stronger outlook.

For a market increasingly nervous about how much technology companies are spending on AI, Super Micro delivered a timely reminder: somebody is selling the equipment behind it all.

And right now, that business is booming. Super Micro reported fiscal first-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.81 per share on revenue of $19.95 billion. Analysts had expected earnings of $1.23 per share and revenue of $17.53 billion.

That wasn’t a narrow victory. Earnings beat expectations by about 47%, while revenue exceeded forecasts by roughly $2.4 billion.

The comparison with a year earlier was even more striking. Back then, Super Micro earned an adjusted 35 cents per share on $5 billion in revenue. In other words, quarterly sales nearly quadrupled, while adjusted earnings grew more than fivefold.

Even the company’s recent preview proved too conservative. On Oct. 20, Super Micro estimated quarterly revenue would land between $18.5 billion and $19.5 billion. The reported figure topped that range. Investors had already been given reason to expect a strong quarter. Super Micro still managed to deliver an extra helping.

AI Needs More Than a Clever Chatbot



It’s easy to think about AI in terms of what appears on a screen: a chatbot answering questions, software writing code, or an application creating images. 

Behind those tools sits a mountain of computing equipment.

Super Micro sells servers, storage systems, and other technology that helps businesses run demanding workloads. As companies expand their AI operations, they need more of that infrastructure. Think of an AI application as a busy restaurant. The chatbot gets to greet the customers, but somebody still has to build and equip the kitchen.

Super Micro helps supply that kitchen. Management is also pushing beyond individual pieces of hardware toward more complete data-center offerings, including networking, software, and support. The appeal is straightforward: customers want systems they can put to work quickly without having to assemble every piece themselves.

That gives Super Micro an opportunity to compete for more of the spending attached to each project. However, fulfilling larger projects also makes reliable execution increasingly important.

The Forecast Keeps the Momentum Going

Super Micro’s outlook gave investors another reason to pay attention.

For its fiscal second quarter, management expects revenue between $19.5 billion and $21.5 billion, with adjusted earnings of $1.66 to $1.90 per share. Both ranges sit above the Wall Street expectations cited ahead of the report: $18.1 billion in revenue and earnings of $1.14 per share. The company also raised its fiscal 2027 revenue forecast to $72 billion to $82 billion, from $65 billion to $72 billion. 

smci - StockEarnings

Following the update, Rosenblatt reiterated its Buy rating and $57 price target.

For now, though, the company has given investors something more useful than another exciting AI prediction: substantial sales, stronger earnings, and an increased forecast.

The next test is turning that momentum into consistent cash generation while protecting margins. Super Micro has shown it can attract a crowd to the AI hardware party. Investors now want to see how much money it takes home.

Super Micro is Still Technically Oversold

Despite all of the good news, SMCI is still technically oversold at triple-bottom support dating back to August. It’s also oversold on relative strength (RSI), MACD, and Williams’ %R. From its last traded price of $31.39, we’d like to see the SMCI stock rally back to initially refill its bearish gap at around $35.63. From there, longer-term, we’d like to see it retest the $45.77 highs.

smci - StockEarnings

Over the last 26 years, he’s taught thousands of investors how to trade news flow and herd mentality using a unique blend of technical and fundamental analysis. Cooper was among the few analysts to spot the financial crisis of 2008, the top of subprime and Alt-A, the death of Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, and New Century Financial, and even the Dow’s collapse to 6,500, as well as its recovery. He even called for gold to rally well above $1.500 when it traded under $600. At the moment, Cooper makes use of technical, fundamental and news analysis, to help individual investors grow their wealth. He’s a firm believer that hard work and thorough research will lead to investment success.

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