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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

Jabil Earnings: $8.5 Billion More Revenue Is Already Taking Shape

Posted on Oct 01, 2026 by Grayson Cavern

Jabil Earnings: $8.5 Billion More Revenue Is Already Taking Shape

Jabil Inc. (NYSE: JBL) is moving deeper into the part of the hardware cycle where the biggest manufacturing commitments get made, and its FY27 numbers show what that shift looks like in dollars: revenue is expected to rise from $35.95 billion to $44.5 billion ($8.55 billion increase) while core EPS climbs from $13.09 to $17.55.

The striking part is where that $8.5 billion of additional revenue is coming from. Almost all of it comes from Intelligent Infrastructure, where Jabil is getting involved earlier in the design of data-center systems, before those designs turn into factory orders.

The $8.5 Billion Increase Has A Very Specific Shape



Jabil’s fourth quarter already showed the direction of travel, with revenue climbing 29% year over year to $10.62 billion, while core operating income reached $675 million and core EPS jumped to $4.40 from $3.29. Intelligent Infrastructure grew 56% during the quarter and carried a 6.5% core margin, compared with 5.8% for Regulated Industries and 7.1% for Connected Living & Digital Commerce. 

Then the FY27 buildout puts some very specific numbers behind that acceleration. Intelligent Infrastructure is projected to move from $17.9 billion to $25.6 billion, adding $7.7 billion by itself. Within that segment, Cloud & Data Center Infrastructure contributes $6.0 billion of growth, Capital Equipment adds $1.2 billion, and Networking & Comms another $500 million. 

That $7.7 billion Intelligent Infrastructure increase represents roughly 91% of Jabil’s $8.5 billion companywide revenue expansion. Regulated Industries adds another $900 million, while Intelligent Devices & Robotics declines by $100 million, bringing the total bridge to the full $44.5 billion target. The shape of the forecast is therefore unusually concentrated, as most of the incremental revenue is coming from the infrastructure businesses tied to data centers, compute, power, cooling, and networking.

Jabil Is Getting Into The Build Before The Factory Order

The more revealing number is buried in Jabil’s description of how those infrastructure programs are won: four of its six largest data-center wins in FY26 began as design engagements. The company has more than 9,000 engineers working with customers earlier in their decision cycles, providing design and process support before manufacturing begins.

Now that changes the economic sequence. A manufacturer that enters after a customer has already finalized a product can compete primarily for production. But Jabil is describing a model where its engineers are involved while the customer is still deciding how the system gets built, allowing Jabil to work across compute, networking, power, and cooling before the production footprint is locked in.

And you can also see the result inside the capacity numbers as well. Jabil says new capacity across its more than 120 facilities worldwide is beginning to fill with committed customer programs, while FY27 growth includes ramps across compute, power, liquid cooling, modular power and related services. 

Put those pieces together and the $7.7 billion Intelligent Infrastructure increase stops looking like a single-year sales target. A customer enters through engineering, the relationship expands into a broader system, production requirements follow, and Jabil adds capacity against programs it already has visibility into. Four of the six largest data-center wins following that path in FY26 gives the model some actual operating evidence.

More Volume Is Reaching The Cash Register

Understand that Jabil does not need to pour capital into that growth at the same rate as revenue. FY26 produced $1.532 billion of adjusted free cash flow, while net capital expenditures were just 1.3% of revenue, while net capital expenditures were only 1.3% of revenue. 

That gives the expansion a useful financial characteristic: Jabil can add manufacturing capability while still producing substantial cash for shareholders. The company returned $1.06 billion through buybacks during FY26 and has authorized another $1.5 billion repurchase program, while its longer-term framework calls for net capex of 1.5%–2% of revenue and 100%+ adjusted free-cash-flow conversion. 

There is also a useful margin clue here. Core operating margin was 5.8% in FY26 and is expected at 6.1% in FY27, only a 30-basis-point improvement. Jabil therefore does not need an enormous margin expansion to produce the earnings growth embedded in its numbers. The bulk of the earnings increase is coming from putting substantially more revenue through the existing operating model.

jabil - StockEarnings

A Strong Business And A Chart That Needs A Reset

The stock closed September 30 at $286.86 after falling 10.03%, putting it beneath its 20-day moving average around $306, its 50-day around $318, and its 200-day around $301. The price has also broken beneath the descending trend structure that developed from the summer highs, bringing the stock back towards the high-$280, where the chart shows a rising support line

That creates two very different pieces of information. The earnings presentation shows a business preparing for another substantial expansion in infrastructure revenue, while the chart shows investors aggressively repricing the shares after the report. I would treat roughly $280 as the line that needs to hold before calling the current decline a deeper technical breakdown. Above that, a reclaim of 300–307 would put the stock back above the 20-day average, with 317–320 becoming the next area to watch around the 50-day average. JBL is a nice buy at $286, but I would size it around the chart rather than chase the earnings-day volatility.

jabil - StockEarnings

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