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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

American Express Beats on Profit, Raises Outlook. Why the Stock Is Falling.

Posted on Jul 24, 2026 by Ian Cooper

American Express Beats on Profit, Raises Outlook. Why the Stock Is Falling.

American Express (NYSE: AXP) delivered another quarter of double-digit revenue growth and stronger-than-expected earnings, but investors apparently wanted more.

Shares of the credit card giant are dropping after the company reported second-quarter results that topped Wall Street’s profit expectations but came in just shy of revenue estimates. Despite the stock’s decline, the report painted a picture of a company continuing to benefit from healthy customer spending, stable credit quality, and strong demand for its premium card products. American Express also raised its full-year revenue growth forecast after posting better-than-expected results during the first half of the year.

Earnings Beat, Revenue Falls Just Short



American Express reported second-quarter earnings of $4.53 a share, topping analysts’ consensus estimate of $4.40.

Revenue was up 10% from a year earlier to $19.64 billion. While that marked another quarter of solid growth, it narrowly missed Wall Street’s expectations of $19.69 billion. Net income climbed to $3.1 billion from $2.9 billion in the same quarter last year, reflecting continued momentum across the company’s consumer and commercial businesses. American Express said the revenue increase was fueled by higher Card Member spending, stronger net interest income as card balances increased, and continued growth in card fee revenue.

american express-StockEarnings

Consumers Keep Spending

American Express continues to see healthy spending among its customer base.

Card Member spending increased 9% from a year earlier, marking the strongest growth rate the company has reported in three years. That suggests that higher-income consumers remain willing to spend despite elevated interest rates and broader economic uncertainty.

Chairman and Chief Executive Stephen Squeri highlighted the strength of consumer activity when discussing the results. “We had another excellent quarter, with 10 percent revenue growth, EPS of $4.53, and Card Member spending growth of 9 percent, the highest rate we’ve seen in three years on an FX-adjusted basis.”

Outlook Gets a Lift

One of the biggest positives from the report was management’s increased confidence in the company’s growth outlook. Following stronger-than-expected performance during the first six months of the year, American Express raised its forecast for full-year revenue growth to 10%.

The company maintained its earnings guidance of $17.30 to $17.90 per share, indicating it remains confident in its ability to deliver strong profitability while continuing to invest in the business. “Based on our better-than-expected performance in the first half of the year, we are raising our full-year revenue growth guidance to 10 percent,” Squeri added.

Expanding Beyond Payments

American Express also announced a strategic acquisition alongside its earnings release.

The company plans to acquire TheFork, a European restaurant reservation platform that connects diners with approximately 50,000 restaurants across 11 countries.

The acquisition would expand American Express’s dining and lifestyle offerings, an area the company has increasingly emphasized as it seeks to deepen customer engagement beyond traditional payments.

American Express: The Bottom Line

While the post-earnings drop may suggest disappointment, the underlying results were largely positive. American Express continues to post double-digit revenue growth, earnings remain strong, customer spending is accelerating, and credit quality has held up well. 

The company’s decision to raise its revenue outlook also points to confidence that those trends will continue. Still, after years of consistently strong execution, expectations for American Express remain high. 

For long-term investors, the quarter reinforced the company’s strengths: a resilient customer base, stable credit performance, expanding premium offerings, and management confident enough to lift its revenue forecast while continuing to invest for future growth.

Over the last 26 years, he’s taught thousands of investors how to trade news flow and herd mentality using a unique blend of technical and fundamental analysis. Cooper was among the few analysts to spot the financial crisis of 2008, the top of subprime and Alt-A, the death of Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, and New Century Financial, and even the Dow’s collapse to 6,500, as well as its recovery. He even called for gold to rally well above $1.500 when it traded under $600. At the moment, Cooper makes use of technical, fundamental and news analysis, to help individual investors grow their wealth. He’s a firm believer that hard work and thorough research will lead to investment success.

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