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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

Intuit’s Layoffs Revealed The Threat Hiding Inside The Company

Posted on May 22, 2026 by Grayson Cavern

Intuit’s Layoffs Revealed The Threat Hiding Inside The Company

This week, Intuit (NASDAQ: INTU) announced plans to cut roughly 3,000 employees, about 17% of its workforce. Companies usually make decisions like that when growth slows, margins shrink, or customers disappear.

However, Intuit reported Q3 earnings for FY26 with revenue of $8.56 billion and GAAP diluted EPS of $11.65. With these figures, companies don’t tear apart a workforce unless they see something more dangerous than a weak quarter. That’s exactly what I’m about to uncover.

An Empire Built Around Problems Most People Hate Solving



Most investors and consumers know Intuit through products they’ve already touched: TurboTax. QuickBooks. And Credit Karma.

But what they often miss is the scale at which each is operating. And understanding them is the first step to analyzing this quarter and the layoff.

TurboTax and the broader Consumer Group generated $4 billion in revenue during the quarter.

QuickBooks and the Global Business Solutions segment generated another $2.8 billion.

Credit Karma revenue jumped 31% year-over-year.

Those businesses sit at the center of how millions of Americans handle taxes, accounting, payroll, credit decisions, borrowing, and personal finance.

TurboTax became a giant because most people don’t understand the tax code. QuickBooks, because most business owners aren’t accountants. Credit Karma, because most consumers struggle to make confident financial decisions.

This means Intuit’s biggest businesses all depend on the same thing continuing to exist: a world where financial decisions remain difficult enough that millions of people still need help making them. 

So what happens when the very idea that built these products is threatened?

AI Is Moving Directly Toward That Complexity

The threat facing Intuit doesn’t look like traditional competition.

The company has spent decades competing against tax software, accounting software, payroll platforms, and financial websites. The bigger threat comes from companies building intelligence itself, like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL).

Think about what happens when AI becomes trusted enough to handle financial workflows:

A taxpayer uploads a stack of documents and receives a completed return. A business owner asks why margins fell and receives an answer instead of a dashboard. A consumer asks whether they can afford a mortgage and receives guidance built around income, debt, spending patterns, and credit history. 

And once consumers stop paying for navigation, they start paying for answers. That’s where some of Intuit’s most valuable businesses begin looking exposed.

Why The Management Is Scared Of The Numbers

This quarter, revenue grew 15%. GAAP operating income climbed 19% to $3.7 billion. GAAP operating margin expanded to 43.4%.

Management raised full-year guidance again. Again, those are not the numbers of a company under financial pressure, which makes the layoffs far more revealing.

Strong companies disrupt themselves when they believe the future is arriving faster than the market understands. No wonder Intuit repeatedly discussed directing resources toward AI investments and future growth initiatives.

The thing is, when most investors hear another company talking about AI.

I heard management looking at businesses generating billions of dollars every quarter and realized they could not afford to defend them the same way they always had. A reaction you only get from a company scared of how the market could transform in the shortest time possible.

Wall Street Is Pricing In More Than Earnings

Intuit beat earnings, raised guidance, expanded margins, and still dropped almost 4%. That reaction tells you investors weren’t focused on the quarter. They were focused on the message hidden inside it.

Technically, INTU remains below its declining 50-day moving average near $407, while resistance around $400-$420 continues capping rallies. Buyers have repeatedly defended the $350-$360 zone, creating a potential double-bottom structure, but the stock has yet to prove institutions are willing to chase it higher.

The 17% workforce reduction changed the conversation.

Instead of celebrating strong earnings, investors began asking why a company growing revenue 15%, expanding margins to 43.4%, and raising guidance felt compelled to eliminate 3,000 jobs.

The chart reflects that uncertainty.

Wall Street appears less concerned about Intuit’s current business and more focused on whether management sees an AI-driven disruption approaching faster than investors do. If the market starts viewing the layoffs as offensive positioning rather than defensive cost-cutting, the stock has room to reclaim the $400-$420 range. If not, resistance likely remains intact.

intuit - StockEarnings

Intuit Is Fighting To Keep Its Products From Becoming Features

This was the most fascinating realization hiding inside the quarter.

For years, Intuit competed against software.

The next battle could revolve around something much bigger: the interface itself. Because the future winner may not be the company that builds the best tax software or accounting software. The future winner is the company that becomes the first place people go when they need financial answers. Just like people still consult Google after Yahoo, Bing, and, dare I say, ChatGPT.

That’s why the layoffs, though morally questionable, are strategic for the company.

TurboTax generated $4 billion. QuickBooks generated $2.8 billion. Credit Karma grew 31%…

All three businesses were built around the assumption that financial complexity remains difficult to solve.

AI is attacking that assumption directly. As a result, the company is now racing against the possibility that the very problem underpinning its empire becomes dramatically easier to solve. So if management is right, the biggest threat to TurboTax, QuickBooks, and Credit Karma won’t come from a better version of those products.

It will come from a future where millions of people stop needing them in the same way at all. In retrospect, that’s akin to building castles in quicksand.

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