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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

Levi Strauss: Risk I Warned About Last Earnings Is Finally Paying Off

Posted on Jul 09, 2026 by Grayson Cavern

Levi Strauss: Risk I Warned About Last Earnings Is Finally Paying Off

Last quarter, while most investors focused on Levi Strauss & Co.‘s (NYSE: LEVI) earnings beat, I argued that the bigger story was unfolding beneath the surface. The company was no longer simply benefiting from consumer demand. It was taking ownership of that demand by shifting toward a direct-to-consumer model, accepting higher marketing and operating costs in exchange for greater long-term control over its customers.

At the time, I thought that strategy introduced a new layer of risk because growth was becoming increasingly dependent on Levi’s ability to keep generating demand itself. This quarter changed the conversation.

Levi reported second-quarter revenue of $1.56 billion, up 8% year over year, while diluted earnings per share from continuing operations climbed to $0.24 from $0.20 a year ago. Those numbers comfortably exceeded expectations. More importantly, the very strategy that looked more expensive just three months ago is beginning to produce stronger margins, higher cash generation, and another increase in full-year guidance.

That raises a much more interesting question. At what point does an investment stop being a cost and start becoming an advantage?

Levi’s Transformation Is Finally Beginning To Scale



The answer starts with how differently this earnings report reads compared to the previous quarter.

Three months ago, Levi’s direct-to-consumer strategy looked expensive. Selling, marketing, and technology investments were rising as management spent aggressively to strengthen the brand, expand digital capabilities, and reduce its dependence on wholesale partners. The strategy made long-term sense, but it also meant Levi had to continuously generate its own demand rather than rely on retailers to do part of that work. This quarter suggests those investments are beginning to compound.

Direct-to-consumer revenue increased 11% and now represents 51% of total company sales. E-commerce revenue climbed 19%, Beyond Yoga expanded another 16%, and wholesale still grew 5%, showing the business isn’t sacrificing one channel to grow another. Instead, Levi appears to be building a broader consumer ecosystem while maintaining healthy relationships across both distribution models. 

What stood out to me even more was management’s confidence. Michelle Gass once again described Levi as a “DTC-first, denim lifestyle company,” while simultaneously raising full-year revenue and earnings guidance. Companies rarely increase their outlook unless they believe the underlying engine driving growth has become more durable rather than temporarily favorable. 

The Cost Of Owning The Customer Is Becoming An Asset

This is where I think Wall Street’s debate becomes far more interesting than another earnings beat.

Normally, taking distribution in-house creates pressure on profitability. Operating stores, investing in e-commerce platforms, funding marketing campaigns, and building customer relationships all require significant upfront spending. That was the central risk I highlighted after the previous quarter.

Yet this report suggests Levi is beginning to cross an important threshold.

Gross margin expanded to 62.7% despite tariff and foreign exchange headwinds. Operating margin improved to 7.8%, while adjusted EBIT margin expanded 70 basis points to 9.0%. Operating cash flow for the first six months surged to $482.3 million from $238 million a year earlier, inventories declined 7%, and the company increased its quarterly dividend by 14% while continuing a $200 million accelerated share repurchase program. 

These are signs that the operating leverage management has been investing toward is beginning to emerge.

Owning the customer always costs more at the beginning. Eventually, if the strategy succeeds, those same customer relationships begin producing higher lifetime value, stronger pricing power, and better cash generation. I think this quarter may represent the point where Levi starts moving from the first phase into the second.

Investors Are Buying The Next Phase

After spending much of the first quarter recovering from its March lows, Levi Strauss has steadily built a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, a classic sign that institutional conviction has been strengthening rather than fading. The stock now trades comfortably above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, with those longer-term averages beginning to stack beneath the price. A technical structure typically associated with sustained uptrends rather than short-lived rallies.

Perhaps most telling was the market’s response to earnings. Shares briefly pushed above the $25 level on noticeably higher volume before settling around $24.37. While some profit-taking after such a move is hardly surprising, buyers were quick to defend the stock above its key moving averages instead of allowing the post-earnings enthusiasm to unwind.

That price action suggests investors are no longer rewarding Levi for simply beating quarterly estimates. They’re increasingly pricing in the possibility that the company’s direct-to-consumer transformation is reaching the stage where stronger execution translates into sustainably higher profitability.

levi-StockEarnings

This Quarter Changed The Investment Story

I don’t think Levi’s latest earnings eliminate every risk surrounding its direct-to-consumer strategy. 

Management still needs to prove that higher marketing investment, digital expansion, and lifestyle diversification can continue generating attractive returns over multiple years, particularly if consumer spending eventually weakens.

What changed is where the burden of proof now sits. Three months ago, Levi needed to convince investors that spending more to control customer relationships would eventually improve the business. Today, the company has started producing the financial evidence supporting that argument through expanding margins, stronger cash flow, disciplined inventory management, and a higher full-year outlook. 

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