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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

eBay’s Q2 Earnings Is Its First Report Card Since Rejecting GameStop

Posted on Aug 06, 2026 by Grayson Cavern

eBay’s Q2 Earnings Is Its First Report Card Since Rejecting GameStop

When eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) rejected GameStop’s unsolicited proposal in May, the board asked shareholders to walk away from an immediate $125-a-share offer, roughly 46% above where the stock had been trading, and trust that the company could create more value on its own over time.

That decision immediately shifted the burden of proof onto management. Every quarter, especially the second quarter, from that point forward would become part of the company’s case for remaining independent. 

Second-quarter earnings offered the first opportunity to judge that decision. Sure enough, revenue rose 15% to $3.13 billion, gross merchandise volume climbed 15% to $22.4 billion, GAAP earnings per share increased to $1.21, and management lifted its outlook for the remainder of 2026. The quarter also included the completion of eBay’s $1.2 billion acquisition of Depop and another strong performance from its advertising business, where first-party advertising revenue grew 25% year over year.

The numbers alone don’t answer whether rejecting GameStop was the right decision. They do establish something equally important: management asked investors to judge eBay by its execution rather than the price attached to a takeover offer. This quarter is where that argument begins.

eBay Challenged Itself To Become A Better Business



Strong quarters usually begin with more buyers, but eBay’s began with better economics. Active buyers increased just 2% to 136 million, yet gross merchandise volume grew 15%, matching the company’s 15% revenue growth. GAAP operating margin expanded to 21.6% from 17.6% a year earlier, while GAAP net income jumped 51% to $552 million.

Growth also came from businesses carrying higher long-term value. First-party advertising revenue climbed 25% to $570 million, eBay Live delivered another record quarter with GMV growing roughly eightfold, and the company completed its $1.2 billion acquisition of Depop to strengthen its position in second-hand fashion. AI-powered listing tools, card scanning and authentication services continued expanding across the marketplace, reinforcing categories where eBay has steadily built an edge instead of competing on size alone.

Turning Down $125 Looks More Rational Today

Rejecting a takeover bid at a 46% premium only becomes defensible if management can demonstrate that shareholders stand to earn more by remaining invested than by accepting an immediate payout, and while one quarter can never settle that debate, eBay’s second quarter earnings make the board’s decision considerably easier to understand. The business is growing faster, margins are expanding, advertising has become a larger profit engine, AI is lowering friction across the marketplace, and the Depop acquisition strengthens eBay’s position in one of the fastest-growing areas of recommerce rather than distracting management with the complexity of integrating two very different public companies.

I believe the rejection makes strategic sense over the long run because GameStop’s proposal offered shareholders certainty in price, whereas eBay is steadily increasing the value of the business itself. Those aren’t interchangeable outcomes. If management continues executing at this pace, compounds advertising revenue, expands higher-margin categories and successfully integrates Depop, the intrinsic value created over the next several years could exceed what shareholders were asked to accept in May. That possibility is exactly what the board asked investors to believe, and these earnings are the first meaningful evidence supporting that belief.

$125 Still Hangs Over eBay’s Head

The market has already delivered one verdict. Since GameStop’s proposal became public, eBay has climbed from the low-$90s to around $111, recovering gently as each earnings report reinforced management’s turnaround. Yet the chart also shows investors stopping short of assigning the company the same value GameStop did. Wednesday’s rally carried the shares to an intraday high near $114 before profit-taking trimmed the gains, leaving the stock comfortably above its 20-day and 50-day moving averages but still well below the rejected $125 offer. 

That makes $125 more than an abandoned takeover price. It has become a benchmark. Every quarter that eBay continues expanding margins, growing advertising, integrating Depop and compounding earnings narrows the gap between what the board said the business was worth and what the market is willing to pay for it. The chart suggests investors are moving in that direction, but they aren’t there yet.

ebay-StockEarnings

Buying Time Turned Out To Be The Better Deal

Like I said, rejecting GameStop’s proposal was the correct decision – not because eBay posted a strong quarter, but because the business appears to be improving in ways a takeover price couldn’t fully capture. A marketplace that is growing advertising revenue by 25%, expanding operating margins, strengthening categories like collectibles and luxury goods, acquiring Depop to deepen its presence in circular fashion and using AI to make buying and selling easier is steadily increasing its earning power rather than simply maintaining it.

That doesn’t mean the board has been proven right forever. Shareholders gave up the certainty of $125 a share in exchange for management’s promise that the company was worth more over time, and that promise still carries execution risk. Depop must be integrated well, advertising needs to keep scaling and the marketplace has to sustain the momentum this quarter delivered. Those are meaningful hurdles, but I’d own a business whose challenge is executing on visible growth initiatives over one searching for a reason to grow. For the first time since rejecting GameStop, eBay looks like a company earning the right to remain independent.

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