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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

United Airlines Delivers Strong Q2 Earnings, Why the Stock Sold Off Anyway

Posted on Jul 17, 2026 by Chris Markoch

United Airlines Delivers Strong Q2 Earnings, Why the Stock Sold Off Anyway

United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAL) delivered a second-quarter beat that most companies would be thrilled with. Revenue grew 16% year-over-year to $17.7 billion. Adjusted EPS of $1.99 came in near the top of guidance. Management raised full-year guidance despite absorbing nearly $6 billion in unexpected fuel costs. And yet UAL shares fell 1.33% on earnings day, closing at $119.37. That gap between the fundamentals and the price action is where this story gets interesting. 

Understanding why a strong quarter didn’t move the stock higher requires looking past the headline numbers. It means examining what United is actually paying for fuel and how investors felt before the report. It’s also worth exploring how the options market is offering income-generating opportunities for UAL investors who are frustrated by one persistent airline-sector problem: the lack of dividends.

Fuel Costs Remain the Biggest Challenge for United Airlines



United’s core story this quarter was pricing power that narrowly outran cost inflation. Total operating revenue hit $17.7 billion, up 16% year-over-year, with total revenue per available seat mile (TRASM) up 12.1%. Yields rose 12% as well, which management pointed to as proof that demand remains strong even as fares climb. 

The airline needed every bit of that revenue because fuel told a different story. The average fuel price per gallon jumped 79.4% year-over-year to $4.19, and fuel expense rose 84% to $5.1 billion for the quarter. Based on oil prices as of July 14, United now expects almost $6 billion in incremental full-year fuel expense versus its original 2026 budget. Management says it’s recovering roughly half of the increase so far, with recovery expected to climb to 80–90% by the third quarter and 100% by the fourth. 

That’s something that investors shouldn’t be quick to gloss over. United is passing along most, but not all, of its added fuel cost, and the gap is closing each quarter. Adjusted pre-tax margin fell from 11.0% to 4.8% year-over-year. That’s a steep drop, even with the top-line strength. 

Reading the Chart: A Sell-the-News Reaction 

UAL’s chart tells a story of a stock that ran too far, too fast, and is now catching its breath. Shares climbed from roughly $90 in March to an intraday high near $140 in early July — a rally of more than 50% in about four months. Since that peak, the stock has pulled back to the $119 level, still comfortably above its 50-day moving average near $113, but clearly rolling over from a short-term high. 

The MACD indicator backs that read. Momentum turned negative in the days leading into earnings, with the MACD line crossing below its signal line after a strong run higher. That’s a classic sign of a stock cooling off after an aggressive advance, not necessarily a reversal of the broader uptrend. The 50-day average is still rising and still well below the current price, which is typically a bullish long-term signal even during a short-term pullback. 

united - StockEarnings

Put together, the earnings-day drop looks like a “sell the news” reaction. Traders who bought the March-to-July rally took profits on a genuinely good quarter, rather than reacting to any real deterioration in the business. That’s a common pattern after a stock has moved this fast, and it doesn’t necessarily change the longer-term picture. 

The Airline Dividend Problem 

Here’s where I’ll admit a longstanding bias that I, along with many investors, hold against most airline stocks: they generally don’t pay you to wait. Airlines run on thin margins and high fixed costs. If they do offer dividends, those are usually among the first things cut when fuel spikes or demand softens. United doesn’t currently pay one. If shares chop sideways or drift lower for a few quarters, buy-and-hold investors get nothing for their patience. 

That’s part of why Delta Air Lines’ (NYSE: DAL) recently announced 15% dividend increase stands out by comparison. It gives investors a tangible reward for holding through volatility that United shareholders simply don’t get. But United’s situation isn’t hopeless for income-minded investors. It just requires a different tool than a dividend check. 

An Options-Based Approach Worth Considering 

With UAL sitting at $119.37 and September 18 options showing elevated implied volatility in the high-40% to low-50% range — still inflated from the earnings event — a covered call is worth a look for investors who already own shares and want to generate income while United works out its next direction. 

Selling the September 19 $130 call, currently priced around $6.70, would collect roughly 5.6% of the stock’s current value in premium over about two months. That premium provides a cushion if shares drift sideways or dip modestly, and it still allows for meaningful upside — UAL would need to rally over 8.9% for the shares to get called away at $130, which is below the stock’s recent July high near $140. 

For investors who don’t yet own shares but like United at a lower entry point, a cash-secured put tells a similar story from the other side. Selling the September 19 $110 put, priced around $5.06, generates immediate income while committing to buy shares roughly 8% below today’s price if the stock falls that far. The effective cost basis, if assigned, would work out to around $104.94 — a level the stock hasn’t traded at since before its spring rally began. 

Either approach turns United’s lack of a dividend into a source of engineered income instead, using the options market rather than the balance sheet. It’s not a substitute for real dividend income, and it comes with real trade-offs: covered calls cap upside, and cash-secured puts require being comfortable owning the stock if it falls further. But for investors already inclined to hold UAL through this fuel-cost cycle, it’s a way to get paid for the wait. 

Is United Airlines Stock a Buy After Earnings? 

United’s second quarter showed a business successfully navigating a genuine fuel-cost shock, with guidance raised despite it. The stock’s earnings-day dip looks more like short-term profit-taking after a steep rally than a referendum on the results. For investors sitting on shares and wishing United would pay them to hold on, the options market currently offers a reasonable way to generate that income while the fuel-cost recovery plays out over the next two quarters. 

A former marketing copywriter turned freelance financial writer and market analyst. I have a passion for delivering insights to investors. I write regularly about stocks for StockEarnings and MarketBeat. Posts are not advice.

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