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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

General Motors May Have Stopped Playing By The Auto Industry’s Old Rules

Posted on Jul 22, 2026 by Grayson Cavern

General Motors May Have Stopped Playing By The Auto Industry’s Old Rules

General Motors Company (NYSE: GM) published four separate documents around its second-quarter results: a Q2 earnings release, a shareholder letter, a U.S. sales release, and a China sales release. Each had a different audience, different purpose. All four kept returning to the same idea. Not market share, deliveries, or even volume.

For an automaker, that should feel strange. The entire industry has been built around one number for a century. Units sold. Yet General Motors’ own communications barely defend unit growth, they keep circling back to pricing, margins, product mix, manufacturing flexibility, software, insurance, and capital discipline. I’ve been watching earnings releases long enough to notice when a company is quietly trying to change the conversation investors are having about it. This one is doing exactly that, and I think it’s actually working.

Beyond The Income Statement 



The headline numbers looked respectable, not extraordinary. Revenue increased 1.9% to $48.0 billion. Net income fell 31% to $1.3 billion. If you stopped there, you’d walk away thinking: decent quarter, nothing special, moving on. But that would be a mistake.

Adjusted EBIT climbed nearly 30% to $3.9 billion. Adjusted EPS rose 41% to $3.57. Adjusted automotive free cash flow surged 78% to $5.0 billion, and management raised full-year adjusted EBIT guidance to $14.0–$16.0 billion – the second guidance raise this year, which nobody seems to be talking about nearly enough. The obvious explanation would be stronger demand. GM’s own sales releases tell you it wasn’t that at all.

The U.S. sales release opens by celebrating General Motors’ position as America’s best-selling automaker for the quarter, then immediately acknowledges deliveries fell 4%, blaming a smaller EV market, discontinued models, and inventory constraints. Then the language shifts; management starts talking about inventory discipline, pricing discipline, and incentives that protected margins rather than chased volume. China follows the same script, leading not with units but with product mix improvement and expansion into higher-value segments. Mary Barra’s shareholder letter doesn’t celebrate deliveries either. It points to software, GM Defense, GM Insurance, manufacturing flexibility, and next-generation truck launches as the engines of what comes next. Three different documents. One message. And I find it genuinely refreshing.

This Is A Different Operating Philosophy

The new GM’s philosophy is simple: software generates revenue after the vehicle leaves the dealership. Insurance extends the economic relationship with the customer past the point of sale. Manufacturing flexibility lets the company protect margins when trade policy or demand shifts faster than a traditional production schedule can handle. Premium trucks generate higher earnings per unit without needing higher industry volumes to justify them. Capital discipline determines how much of those earnings actually reaches shareholders.

None of that requires selling more cars. It requires extracting more value from the cars already being sold. That’s an underappreciated distinction in how most people are still modeling this business.

The numbers back it up too. North America adjusted EBIT margin expanded from 6.1% to 8.6% on modest revenue growth. Adjusted EPS increased more than 40%. Automotive free cash flow nearly doubled. And management raised guidance despite absorbing approximately $1.5 billion of tariff-related costs this year. They didn’t ask investors to give them a pass on the macro headwinds. They absorbed them and raised anyway. That’s confidence in the operating model, not just the environment.

The Market Is Still Deciding

General Motors’ chart reflects a market that’s becoming more constructive but hasn’t fully committed to a re-rating. After rebounding from its June pullback, the stock reclaimed both its 50-day moving average ($78.83) and remains comfortably above its 200-day moving average ($76.34), preserving the longer-term uptrend. More importantly, each selloff since April has produced a higher low, suggesting institutional buyers continue stepping in on weakness. The remaining hurdle sits around $85, where multiple rallies have stalled this year. A decisive breakout above that level would signal investors are beginning to price GM’s improving earnings quality rather than continuing to value the company primarily as a cyclical automaker.

general motors-StockEarnings

It’s Not An Accident

I’ve read a lot of automotive earnings releases. Most of them are variations of the same story: here’s how many cars we sold, here’s what we think macro does next quarter, here’s why our volume will recover. GM’s release this cycle reads differently, and that’s not an accident.

Now the company is asking investors to value a business that extracts more profit from fewer sales, compounds recurring revenue through software and insurance, and has enough manufacturing flexibility to protect margins when the world doesn’t cooperate. That’s a more interesting business than the one the $85 ceiling is currently pricing. If the next couple of quarters keep delivering the same message – margins expanding, cash flow strengthening, guidance moving higher without volume doing the heavy lifting – then the multiple has to follow eventually.

The old GM competed for the most sales. This one seems to be competing for the most profitable ones. I know which version I’d rather own.

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