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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

Why Okta Is Trying to Clear Microsoft Out of Its Cybersecurity Lane

Posted on Aug 28, 2026 by Chris Markoch

Why Okta Is Trying to Clear Microsoft Out of Its Cybersecurity Lane

Okta (NASDAQ: OKTA) delivered a double beat in its Q2 fiscal 2027 earnings report on Aug. 26. Shares were up 28.26% intraday on Aug. 27, touching a high of $174.85, with the stock’s 50-day moving average sitting far below at $139.79. Non-GAAP earnings came in at $1.05 per diluted share, and total revenue hit $805 million, up 11% year over year. Subscription revenue grew even faster, up 12%. The company also raised its full-year guidance, now projecting fiscal 2027 revenue of $3.216 billion to $3.226 billion.

But the headline numbers only tell part of the story. Page 12 of the investor presentation is titled, bluntly, “Okta is the superior choice vs. Microsoft.” It’s a rare move for a company to name a specific rival that directly in an earnings presentation. The page lays out four categories where the upstart claims to beat Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT):

  • Ease of Use
  • Execution on Identity Challenges
  • Depth of Integrations
  • Mitigating Vendor Risk

That kind of direct callout signals that Okta sees Microsoft as the primary obstacle to its ownership of identity security in the agentic AI economy.

At the same time, cybersecurity giant CrowdStrike (NASDAQ: CRWD) reported its own blowout quarter on the same day, with shares jumping double digits. The market is telling a bigger story: cybersecurity spending is accelerating as AI reshapes enterprise risk. The question for investors is which companies capture that spending, and how the company’s positioning against Microsoft factors into that outcome.

Okta Draws a Line Against Microsoft



Okta’s presentation doesn’t just gesture at competition. It devotes an entire slide to comparing itself with Microsoft point by point. The first category, ease of use, cites a specific gap: Microsoft had to make multi-factor authentication mandatory to push adoption past 34% among admins, even offering it for free. The company says over 90% of its admins adopted MFA voluntarily, before any mandate.

okta - StockEarnings

The second category argues that the company executes better on core identity challenges. Okta says it placed higher than Microsoft in all five use cases in Gartner’s Critical Capabilities for Access Management report, and has been named a Leader in Gartner’s Magic Quadrant for Access Management nine years running.

The third and fourth categories go after integration depth and vendor risk. Okta claims Microsoft’s integrations favor its own platform first, while offering deeper hooks like provisioning, entitlements, and universal logout across a wider ecosystem.

On risk, the company points to its Secure Identity Commitment and faster disaster recovery, framing single-vendor dependency on Microsoft as a real commercial liability. Together, the slide asks customers to see neutrality as an advantage, not a limitation, especially as AI agents span multiple platforms and need an identity layer that isn’t tied to any one of them.

Okta Claims Its Own Lane, Apart From CrowdStrike Too

Okta isn’t just drawing a contrast with Microsoft. It’s also distinguishing itself from CrowdStrike, another cybersecurity name that posted a strong quarter on the same day. CrowdStrike’s shares jumped over 11% after beating estimates with 26% revenue growth, with executives citing AI-driven threats as a tailwind. That’s a similar narrative to Okta’s, but the two companies occupy different parts of the security stack.

CrowdStrike focuses on endpoint detection and response. Okta focuses on identity. CEO Todd McKinnon has framed identity as the true “control plane” for securing AI agents, arguing every agent needs a trusted identity before it can act. New products, including Okta for AI Agents, made up roughly 30% of bookings this quarter, with an average ACV lift of about 40% when bundled into deals.

This positioning gives Okta room to grow without inviting direct comparison to CrowdStrike’s steeper valuation. Instead, Okta can present itself as the identity specialist inside a broader, multi-vendor security stack, one that becomes more essential as AI agents multiply across enterprise systems.

The two companies also differ sharply in how they talk about AI revenue today. Okta closed dozens of AI-agent deals in Q2, including several million-dollar wins, but management called the business very early and said it won’t materially affect fiscal 2027 results.

CrowdStrike took the opposite approach, highlighting its AI Detection and Response product by name and touting ARR that nearly tripled sequentially. Much of that gap comes down to plumbing. CrowdStrike’s AI product rides on an endpoint agent already installed across its customer base, making it a quick add-on sale. Okta’s AI security work is woven into its broader identity platform, a longer sales cycle that’s harder to break out as a standalone number.

Institutional Buyers Are Still Playing Catch-Up

Institutions own more than 80% of the stock’s float, a level that reflects how deeply professional money is embedded in this stock. But that ownership dropped meaningfully during the third quarter of fiscal 2025, when institutional selling outpaced buying. Since then, buying activity has outpaced selling, though institutions still haven’t fully rebuilt their prior position.

That gap suggests professional investors are still catching up to the company’s turnaround story rather than leading it. As more institutions rebuild exposure, it could provide a tailwind for the stock. This dynamic also helps explain why analysts moved quickly to raise price targets this week. Morgan Stanley lifted its target to $200 from $180, Needham raised its target to $200 from $140, and KeyCorp raised its target to $190 from $180.

The Chart Suggests a Pullback Is Coming

Despite the bullish fundamentals, OKTA’s chart flashes a caution sign for short-term traders. The stock’s 50-day simple moving average sits at $139.79, far below the post-earnings spike to a $174.85 intraday high. Rallies this sharp, a 28% single-day move on the chart, rarely hold their full gain without some retracement.

Investors who missed the initial pop may want to watch the 50-day SMA as a potential re-entry level. A pullback toward that zone wouldn’t undermine the broader thesis. It would simply reflect normal profit-taking after an outsized move. Identity security and cybersecurity broadly appear to be at the start of a multi-year growth cycle tied to AI adoption. A short-term dip could offer a second chance to build a position before that cycle matures.

okta - StockEarnings

The Bigger Picture for Okta Investors

Okta’s Q2 report did more than beat estimates. It clarified the company’s strategic identity within a crowded cybersecurity landscape. By directly challenging Microsoft on a dedicated slide and carving out separation from CrowdStrike, Okta is telling investors exactly how it plans to win the next phase of enterprise security spending.

Institutional buyers appear to be catching on, even if they haven’t fully caught up. Analyst price target increases reflect growing confidence in that thesis. Short-term traders should stay alert to a possible pullback toward the 50-day moving average. But for investors focused on the multi-year opportunity around AI-driven identity security, Okta’s latest quarter reinforces a story that’s still in its early innings.

A former marketing copywriter turned freelance financial writer and market analyst. I have a passion for delivering insights to investors. I write regularly about stocks for StockEarnings and MarketBeat. Posts are not advice.

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