ajax loader

Loading...


Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

ServiceTitan’s Q2 Earnings Show Why Its AI Bet Is Hurting Growth

Posted on Sep 14, 2026 by Grayson Cavern

ServiceTitan’s Q2 Earnings Show Why Its AI Bet Is Hurting Growth

ServiceTitan Inc (NASDAQ: TTAN) just produced the kind of quarter that should have made the stock easier to own, yet investors sent the shares down roughly 30% to $55. After digging through the numbers, I think the market may be reacting to the wrong part of the story.

The company delivered $292.8 million of revenue, up 21% year over year and ahead of expectations, while adjusted EPS came in at $0.40 versus roughly $0.35 expected. Non-GAAP operating income jumped 52% to $44.4 million, free cash flow reached $50.5 million, and full-year revenue guidance remains $1.139 billion to $1.144 billion.

So why did the stock get crushed?

ServiceTitan’s Old Growth Engine Is Cooling



What the slowdown investors are worried about is real, so I don’t want to explain away everything with AI. Gross transaction volume (GTV) rose 17% to $26.8 billion, down from 19% growth a year ago, while total revenue growth slowed from 25% to 21%. Platform revenue grew 22%, down from 26% in the comparable period.

GTV is important because it gives us a window into the underlying activity of contractors using ServiceTitan. If that number keeps slowing, the company cannot simply point at AI and pretend the core business doesn’t matter.

But profitability is moving in the opposite direction, as non-GAAP operating margin expanded from 12.1% to 15.2%, while operating cash flow climbed to $58 million from $40.3 million, and free cash flow jumped 47%.

The core business is growing more slowly but becoming substantially more profitable. And then Max enters the picture.

Max Is Growing Faster Than ServiceTitan Can Recognize

ServiceTitan exceeded its goal of doubling Max locations during Q2 and now expects more than 700 enrolled locations by the end of fiscal 2027.

Max isn’t another small feature. ServiceTitan is trying to turn it into an agentic operating system for the trades, with AI handling parts of workflows that currently require people. The strange part is that successful Max adoption can actually make near-term revenue growth look worse.

Management explained that customers are not necessarily billed the full contract value immediately. Implementations can take multiple quarters as customers transition onto the product, creating a gap between the economic value of contracts being signed and the revenue appearing in the income statement.

ServiceTitan expects $2 million to $3 million of subscription revenue headwinds in the second half from Max revenue-recognition timing, plus roughly $2 million from waived onboarding fees for existing customers moving onto Max, which shows that the accounting is temporarily lagging the rollout.

servicetitan - StockEarnings

The Economics Are Already Starting To Show

ServiceTitan is showing evidence that the business underneath the reported revenue is getting stronger.

Platform revenue reached $284.5 million, with subscription revenue up 22% to $212.4 million and usage revenue up 24% to $72.1 million. Platform gross margin improved to 78.7% GAAP and 81.1% non-GAAP.

Non-GAAP R&D spending rose 26% as ServiceTitan invests in its AI platform, yet operating leverage still pushed margins higher.

That is the combination I want from a software company entering a new product cycle: aggressive investment in the next growth engine while the existing platform produces more cash. ServiceTitan ended the quarter with $479.5 million in cash and is guiding to $152 million to $154 million of non-GAAP operating income for the full year.

The Chart Has Completely Lost Its Patience

This is where I would be much more careful than the fundamentals alone suggest, because the technical damage isn’t simply a bad day after earnings.  TTAN had spent months building a recovery from the April low, with a rising trendline supporting the stock through the spring and summer. That structure carried shares from the low-$50s to almost $100 by early September, but earnings broke the entire uptrend on roughly 48.7 million shares traded, the heaviest volume visible on the chart.

At $55.25, TTAN is roughly $30 below its 20-day SMA at $85.68, nearly $28 below its 50-day at $82.75 and more than $22 below its 200-day at $77.76. All three now sit above the stock, creating layers of overhead resistance.

The $54–$55 area is the first level I would watch. Lose it, and $50 becomes the obvious psychological level. But $69–$70 is more important because reclaiming the broken trendline would be the first sign that the collapse is stabilizing.

Above that, $77–$78 is the 200-day SMA, followed by $82–$86 where the 50-day and 20-day averages converge. TTAN would need to reclaim that entire zone before I would call the larger technical trend repaired.

The chart shows the market has lost confidence in the old growth trajectory. But it hasn’t yet disproved the Max thesis.

servicetitan - StockEarnings

ServiceTitan Has To Prove Which Story Is Real

ServiceTitan expects Q3 revenue of $285 million to $287 million, slightly below the roughly $288 million consensus, although one fewer business day also weighs on the comparison.

If GTV continues slowing while Max fails to translate into stronger economics, the selloff will look justified. If Max keeps scaling, margins expand, and the revenue-recognition drag fades as implementations become more efficient, the current valuation could look very different.

If I’m buying this, it’s not because the chart is healthy. It isn’t. It’d be because ServiceTitan may have reached an unusual point where its old growth engine is cooling as its new AI engine accelerates, while the accounting treatment makes the near-term numbers look weaker than the underlying product adoption. But with TTAN below every major moving average, I would want $60 to hold first and $69–$70 reclaimed before adding aggressively. If those levels return, $77–$78 becomes the real confirmation that the market is starting to believe the Max transition.

Join over 1.2M+ investors/traders who receive daily and weekly notable earnings alerts with predicted move