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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

Ciena Q3 Earnings Beat Highlights Next Phase of AI Infrastructure Boom

Posted on Sep 03, 2026 by Grayson Cavern

Ciena Q3 Earnings Beat Highlights Next Phase of AI Infrastructure Boom

Ciena (NYSE: CIEN) delivered $1.67 billion in fiscal Q3 revenue, up 37% year over year, while adjusted EPS jumped 215% to $2.11 from $0.67 a year earlier. The company also raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $6.42 billion at the midpoint, or 35% growth. 

Those numbers already put a serious earnings beat on the table, but the more useful clue lies in where that revenue came from: optical networking generated $1.19 billion, or 71.3% of total revenue, compared with $815.5 million a year ago. Networking Platforms accounted for 81.1% of total revenue. 

That makes CIEN more interesting than another company simply adding “AI” to its investor presentation. Ciena sells networking equipment that moves enormous amounts of data between the systems that power modern computing.

Now ask yourself – what happens when AI clusters become so large that the machines cannot all sit neatly inside one data center?

AI Is Creating A Problem Beyond The GPU



For the last few years, investors have watched NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), cloud providers and data-center operators pour money into computing capacity, while the network connecting all those machines received much less attention.

Ciena’s Q3 numbers suggest that the networking bill is becoming impossible to ignore, as cloud-provider revenue grew 82% year over year and accounted for 53% of total revenue. 

The company also highlighted rising demand for higher-speed optical connections and growing adoption of its WaveLogic 6 Nano technology, with 800ZR pluggable shipments more than doubling sequentially. 

Think about what that means for the AI infrastructure trade. More GPUs create more computing power. More computing power creates more data movement. More data movement requires more bandwidth between servers, racks and data centers.

Ciena operates smack in the middle of that chain.

That gives us a more peculiar way to look at the AI boom. And that is, investors don’t need Ciena to win the AI software race or produce the next great model. It needs the companies building those systems to keep running into networking requirements that force them to spend.

The Margin Numbers Tell Me Customers Aren’t Just Ordering More

Ciena’s Q3 revenue growth would already deserve attention, but the profitability figures make it difficult to tag this quarter as a mere volume story. Adjusted gross margin reached 46.4%, compared with 41.9% a year earlier, while adjusted operating margin climbed to 22.5% from 10.7%. Adjusted EBITDA reached $411.1 million, up from $158 million. 

Ciena also ended the quarter with $2.8 billion in cash and investments, while the company repurchased approximately 0.4 million shares for $171.7 million during the quarter. 

Considering that a company can announce massive AI orders and still leave shareholders wondering whether those orders will ever produce decent returns, while Ciena is showing revenue growth alongside much stronger margins, this tells me the current demand is reaching the bottom line rather than simply inflating the top line.

And not only that, but the fourth-quarter outlook also keeps that momentum alive with expected revenue of $1.75 billion plus or minus $50 million and an adjusted operating margin of about 20%. 

For a company selling networking infrastructure, that is the kind of financial trajectory I want to see as investors debate whether AI spending has gone too far.

Disconnection Between CIEN And The Business

The stock has given investors a strange setup because CIEN has fallen from its June high near $620 to around $364, even as the company has produced stronger operating results.

That decline has left the stock below its 20-day moving average around $396.59, its 50-day average around $408.94, and its 200-day average around $376.75.

The chart still carries a descending trendline from the June peak, and CIEN recently tested the $350 area before bouncing toward $364. That leaves traders with a very clear fight.

If buyers push CIEN back above the 200-day average and then reclaim the $400 region, the market could start treating the recent decline as a reset rather than a change in the business.

If the stock keeps failing below those moving averages, the market is telling us that expectations still sit too high. I lean toward the first outcome because the fundamental picture gives buyers something concrete to defend.

ciena - StockEarnings

Ciena Could Be One Of The AI Trades Investors Revisit

The easiest way to miss this company is to keep thinking of AI as a chip story, because Ciena’s quarter shows that spending eventually reaches the infrastructure surrounding those chips.

Ciena has 53% of revenue coming from cloud providers, optical networking producing more than 71% of total revenue, and management guiding to 35% FY2026 revenue growth at the midpoint.

The market can keep arguing about whether AI valuations have become stretched. With Ciena, however, I’m considering the possibility that the AI buildout will expand the amount of networking infrastructure required long after investors stop getting excited about another GPU announcement.

That is why I remain constructive on CIEN. The company sits in a part of the AI supply chain where spending has to become physical, and Q3 showed that customers are already putting real money behind it.

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