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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

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Bank of Marin Bancorp Announces Completion of Acquisition of American River Bankshares
Bank of Marin Bancorp Announces Completion of Acquisition of American River Bankshares
August 09 2021 05:00 AM

NOVATO, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--BANK OF MARIN BANCORP ANNOUNCES COMPLETION OF ACQUISITION OF AMERICAN RIVER BANKSHARES

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American River (AMRB) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 34.29% and 0.72%, respectively, for the quarter ended June 2021. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

American River Bankshares Reports Second Quarter 2021 Results
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SACRAMENTO, Calif., July 22, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- American River Bankshares (NASDAQ-GS: AMRB) today reported net income of $2.4 million, or $0.40 per diluted share for the second quarter of 2021 compared to $1.7 million, or $0.30 per diluted share for the second quarter of 2020. For the six months ended June 30, 2021, net income was $5.0 million or $0.84 per diluted share, compared to $3.2 million or $0.54 per diluted share for the six months ended June 30, 2020.

American River Bankshares Announces its Quarterly Cash Dividend
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SACRAMENTO, Calif., July 15, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- American River Bankshares (NASDAQ-GS: AMRB) announced its quarterly cash dividend of 7 cents per share ($0.07) payable on August 5, 2021 to shareholders of record on July 28, 2021.

American River (AMRB) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
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NEW YORK, June 10, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Juan Monteverde , founder and managing partner at Monteverde & Associates PC, a national securities firm rated Top 50 in the 2018-2020 ISS Securities Class Action Services Report and headquartered at the Empire State Building in New York City, is investigating American River Bankshares ("AMRB" or the "Company") (AMRB) relating to its proposed merger with Bank of Marin Bancorp. AMRB shareholders will receive 0.575 shares of Bank of Marin common stock per share they own.

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American River Bankshares remains sturdy and unshaken despite the disruptions of the pandemic. Although growth has been underwhelming, viability and liquidity remain impressive.

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SACRAMENTO, Calif., May 24, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Board of Directors of American River Bankshares (NASDAQ – GS: AMRB), announced the election of all nine Director nominees at its Annual Meeting held Thursday, May 20, 2021 in Rancho Cordova, California.

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As of late, it has definitely been a great time to be an investor in American River Bankshares (AMRB).

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American River (AMRB) was a big mover last session on higher-than-average trading volume. The latest trend in earnings estimate revisions might help the stock continue moving higher in the near term.

AMERICAN RIVER BANKSHARES INVESTOR ALERT by the Former Attorney General of Louisiana: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of American River Bankshares - AMRB
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NEW YORK, April 19, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- WeissLaw LLP is investigating possible breaches of fiduciary duty and other violations of law by the board of directors of American River Bankshares ("AMRB" or the "Company") (NASDAQ: AMRB) in connection with the proposed acquisition of the Company by Bank of Marin Bancorp ("BMRC") (NASDAQ: BMRC). Under the terms of the merger agreement, AMRB shareholders will receive 0.575 shares of BMRC common stock for each AMRB share that they own, representing implied consideration of approximately $22.46 based upon BMRC's April 16, 2021 closing price of $39.06.

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Shareholder Alert: Ademi LLP investigates whether American River Bankshares has obtained a Fair Price in its transaction with Bank of Marin Bancorp.
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MILWAUKEE, April 19, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Ademi LLP is investigating AMRB (Nasdaq: AMRB) for possible breaches of fiduciary duty and other violations of law in its transaction with BMRC. Click here to learn how to join the action: https://www.ademilaw.com/case/american-river-bankshares or call Guri Ademi toll-free at 866-264-3995.

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NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Halper Sadeh LLP, a global investor rights law firm, is investigating whether the sale of American River Bankshares (NASDAQ: AMRB) to Bank of Marin Bancorp is fair to American River shareholders. In connection with the merger, American River shareholders will receive a fixed exchange ratio of 0.575 shares of Bank of Marin common stock for each share of American River common stock outstanding. Halper Sadeh encourages American River shareholders to click here to learn m

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American River (AMRB) could be a great choice for investors looking to make a profit from fundamentally strong stocks that are currently on the move. It is one of the several stocks that made it through our "Recent Price Strength" screen.

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American River (AMRB) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 21.62% and 2.97%, respectively, for the quarter ended March 2021. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

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NOVATO, Calif & SACRAMENTO, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--BANK OF MARIN BANCORP AND AMERICAN RIVER BANKSHARES ANNOUNCE SIGNING OF MERGER AGREEMENT; EXPANDS BANK OF MARIN INTO GREATER SACRAMENTO AND AMADOR

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Shares of American River Bankshares (NASDAQ:AMRB) were unchanged after the company reported Q1 results. Quarterly Results Earnings per share rose 87.50% year over year to $0.45, which beat the estimate of $0.35.

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SACRAMENTO, Calif., April 19, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- American River Bankshares (NASDAQ-GS: AMRB) today reported net income of $2.6 million, or $0.45 per diluted share for the first quarter of 2021 compared to $1.4 million, or $0.24 per diluted share for the first quarter of 2020.

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American River (AMRB) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -5.26% and -7.00%, respectively, for the quarter ended December 2020. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

American River Bankshares Reports Fourth Quarter 2020 Results
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January 28 2021 07:15 AM

SACRAMENTO, Calif., Jan. 28, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- American River Bankshares (NASDAQ-GS: AMRB) today reported net income of $2.1 million or $0.36 per diluted share for the fourth quarter of 2020 compared to a net income of $1.5 million or $0.26 per diluted share for the fourth quarter of 2019. For the twelve months ended December 31, 2020, net income was $7.1 million or $1.20 per diluted share, compared to $5.5 million or $0.94 per diluted share for the twelve months ended December 31, 2019.

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SACRAMENTO, Calif., Jan. 21, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- American River Bankshares (NASDAQ-GS: AMRB) today announced that it will host a conference call on Thursday, January 28, 2021 at 1:30 p.m. Pacific Time to discuss the fourth quarter 2020 financial results.

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American River (AMRB) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 11.11% and 1.34%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2020. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

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SACRAMENTO, Calif., Oct. 22, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- American River Bankshares (NASDAQ-GS: AMRB) today reported net income of $1.8 million, or $0.30 per diluted share for the third quarter of 2020 compared to $1.6 million, or $0.27 per diluted share for the third quarter of 2019. For the nine months ended September 30, 2020, net income was $5.0 million or $0.84 per diluted share, compared to $4.0 million or $0.68 per diluted share for the nine months ended September 30, 2019.

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American River (AMRB) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

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American River (AMRB) might move higher on growing optimism about its earnings prospects, which is reflected by its upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

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American River (AMRB) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 20.00% and -4.11%, respectively, for the quarter ended June 2020. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

American River Bankshares Announces its Third Quarter Cash Dividend
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July 16 2020 06:30 AM

SACRAMENTO, Calif., July 16, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- American River Bankshares (NASDAQ-GS: AMRB) announced its third quarter cash dividend of 7 cents per share ($0.07) payable on August 12, 2020 to shareholders of record on July 29, 2020.

American River Bankshares Reports Second Quarter 2020 Results
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July 16 2020 06:15 AM

SACRAMENTO, Calif., July 16, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- American River Bankshares (NASDAQ-GS: AMRB) today reported net income of $1.7 million, or $0.30 per diluted share for the second quarter of 2020 compared to $1.3 million, or $0.22 per diluted share for the second quarter of 2019.  For the six months ended June 30, 2020, net income was $3.2 million or $0.54 per diluted share, compared to $2.4 million or $0.41 per diluted share for the six months ended June 30, 2019.

American River Bankshares: Government Stimulus Program To Drive Earnings
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American River Bankshares: Government Stimulus Program To Drive Earnings

American River Bankshares Announces its Second Quarter Cash Dividend
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April 16 2020 09:00 AM

SACRAMENTO, Calif., April 16, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- American River Bankshares (NASDAQ-GS: AMRB) announced its second quarter cash dividend of 7 cents per share ($0.07) payable on May 13, 2020 to shareholders of record on April 29, 2020.

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April 16 2020 07:35 AM

American River (AMRB) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -7.69% and 1.92%, respectively, for the quarter ended March 2020. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

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March 06 2020 07:21 AM

American River Bankshares has been on a bit of a cold streak lately, but there might be light at the end of the tunnel for this overlooked stock.

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American River (AMRB) Misses Q4 Earnings Estimates
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January 23 2020 08:35 AM

American River (AMRB) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -7.14% and 0.66%, respectively, for the quarter ended December 2019. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

American River (AMRB) Upgraded to Buy: Here
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January 22 2020 10:00 AM

American River (AMRB) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. This might drive the stock higher in the near term.

American River Bankshares Announces its First Quarter Cash Dividend
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January 16 2020 07:15 AM

SACRAMENTO, Calif., Jan. 16, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- American River Bankshares (NASDAQ-GS: AMRB) announced its first quarter cash dividend of 7 cents per share ($0.07) payable on February 12, 2020 to shareholders of record on January 29, 2020.

American River (AMRB) Upgraded to Buy: Here
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December 11 2019 10:00 AM

American River (AMRB) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. This might drive the stock higher in the near term.

American River (AMRB) Tops Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
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October 17 2019 07:35 AM

American River (AMRB) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 8.00% and 2.67%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2019. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

American River Bankshares Announces its Fourth Quarter Cash Dividend
American River Bankshares Announces its Fourth Quarter Cash Dividend
October 17 2019 06:30 AM

SACRAMENTO, Calif., Oct. 17, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- American River Bankshares (NASDAQ-GS: AMRB) announced its fourth quarter cash dividend of 7 cents per share ($0.07) payable on November 12, 2019 to shareholders of record on October 29, 2019.

American River Bankshares Reports Third Quarter 2019 Results
American River Bankshares Reports Third Quarter 2019 Results
October 17 2019 06:15 AM

SACRAMENTO, Calif., Oct. 17, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- American River Bankshares (NASDAQ-GS: AMRB) today reported net income of $1.6 million, or $0.27 per diluted share for the third quarter of 2019 compared to $1.2 million, or $0.20 per diluted share for the third quarter of 2018.  For the nine months ended September 30, 2019, net income was $4.0 million or $0.68 per diluted share, compared to $3.8 million or $0.64 per diluted share for the nine months ended September 30, 2018.

American River Bankshares Appoints Julie Raney to its Board of Directors
American River Bankshares Appoints Julie Raney to its Board of Directors
September 23 2019 01:30 PM

SACRAMENTO, Calif., Sept. 23, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Board of Directors of American River Bankshares (NASDAQ – GS: AMRB) today announced that it has appointed Julie Raney to the American River Bankshares Board. In addition, the Company has also appointed Ms. Raney to the Board of American River Bank. 

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