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Ride-the-Wave Strategy – Best for Stock Traders

Ride-the-Wave targets multi-day price momentum following a company’s earnings announcement (EA). With this strategy:

  1. Buy a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts positively post-earnings:
    1. Near the close of trading the EA-day for a pre-market-EA
    2. Near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. Sell-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Similarly,

  1. short a stock one day post-EA if a stock reacts negatively post-earnings:
    1. near the close of trading the EA-day for a premarket-EA
    2. near the close of the following day for a post-market-EA
  2. then buy-to-close after 7-10 days, or possibly earlier if a desired price target is reached

Important: Ride-the-Wave is predicated on significant price momentum triggered by an EA. The 7-10 day scenario is the maximum trade hold-time. If you see post EA-momentum is halted or reversed by a significant opposite move, re-evaluate your presence in the trade.

This popular StockEarnings screen below will give you a list of stocks that historically exhibit significant price momentum following an EA for the next seven days:

  1. Stocks exhibiting positive post-EA price moves are buy-candidates
  2. Stocks exhibiting negative post-EA price moves are sell/short-candidates

The screen includes those stocks whose Earnings just came out in last two days.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + -1 Day
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + -2 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 7%
  4. Predicted Move (On 7th Day) Min : 7%

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy the stock if stock has reacted positively. Short the stock if stock has reacted negatively (see above).
  2. Close the position in 7-10 days, or possibly earlier based on price move.

Volatility Crush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Crush strategy is used with stocks that typically experience relatively low-to-moderate price moves (≤4%) following their Earnings Announcements (EA). The basic trade idea is to sell put or call options right before the EA, collecting a credit when options premium is very high due to elevated implied volatility (IV). You then close the position right after the EA by buying the option back much cheaper due to the significant drop in IV that occurs after the mystery of the EA disappears. In assessing this trade, you need to do your homework to ensure you collect sufficient premium to make the trade worthwhile.

This trade is practical due to the low-to-moderate price-move after the EA, which generally won’t significantly affect the options price, unlike an “action” stock, which experience great price moves post-EA. With these symbols, if you’re on the right side of the price move, that’s a great thing. But if you’re on the wrong side of the move, not so great. Consequently, by minimizing the effect of the post-EA price move, you have a much better chance to profit from the reduction in IV without it being ruined by a violent price move.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

For this trade, open the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular stockearnings screen will give you a list of stocks which do not react more than 4% fpost-EA. It includes only those stocks whose earnings are releasing next day.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 1
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 1
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Max : 4%
  4. Options Type: Weekly

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Options Strategy: Sell Call and Put
  2. Options Strike Price: Current Stock Price – (% Predicated Move x 2)
  3. Expiration Date: It should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Buy Insurance: Buying back Call and Put at Strike price which 10% lower than Sell Strike Price is optional but recommended.

Watch Video for More Detail

Volatility Rush Strategy - Best for Options Traders

The Volatility Rush takes advantage of increasing options premiums into earnings announcements (EA) caused by an anticipated rise in Implied Volatility (IV). With this strategy, Buy a Call and Put at-the-money (a long straddle) 2-3 weeks before the EA when IV is lower. Sell the position either (1) the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or (2) during the EA day when it announces post-market, generally capturing IV at or close to its peak.

This popular screen will give you a list of stocks whose Options premiums tend to rise into Earnings. It includes only those stocks whose Earnings are at least two weeks away from today.

Screen criteria:

  1. Earnings Date Start Date : Current Date + 15 Days
  2. Earnings Date End Date : Current Date + 30 Days
  3. Predicted Move (Next Day) Min : 5%
  4. Options Type: Weekly or Monthly if that lines up with the two to three-week lead-time for entering the trade

Strategy Guideline:

  1. Buy a Straddle at or close to the money two to three weeks pre-EA.
  2. Sell the position either the night before the EA when the company announces earnings pre-market, or during the EA day when it announces post-market.
  3. Expiration date should generally be the closest expiry immediately after the EA.
  4. Straddle price should not be more 60% of predicted move.

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. Expected volatility % based on our Proprietary Volatility Predication Model. We are expecting that stock price will likely to reach % in either direction by the end of next trading session after Earnings are released and not necessarily the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

    This indicator helps

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks after Earnings helps to decide trading stocks before Earnings Announcement.
  2. Taking Advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings Results by using Advance Options strategies such as Spread and Straddles.

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

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Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) News Today

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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Schedules Earnings Release and Conference Call for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2021
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Schedules Earnings Release and Conference Call for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2021
October 20 2021 03:00 AM

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (the "Company") (NYSE: ACRE) announced today that it will report earnings for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021 on Wednesday, November 3, 2021 prior to the opening of the New York Stock Exchange. Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation will hold its webcast/conference call on the same day at 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time to discuss its third quarter ended September 30, 2021 financial results. All interested parties are invite

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Ares Commercial Real Estate's (ACRE) CEO Bryan Donohoeon Q2 2021 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
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Ares Commercial Real Estate's (ACRE) CEO Bryan Donohoeon Q2 2021 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Surpasses Q2 Earnings Estimates
Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Surpasses Q2 Earnings Estimates
July 30 2021 05:23 AM

Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 5.71% and -2.35%, respectively, for the quarter ended June 2021. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Ares Commercial Real Estate: Q2 Earnings Insights
Ares Commercial Real Estate: Q2 Earnings Insights
July 30 2021 05:22 AM

Shares of Ares Commercial Real (NYSE:ACRE) fell 0.9% in pre-market trading after the company reported Q2 results. Quarterly Results Earnings per share rose 15.62% year over year to $0.37, which beat the estimate of $0.35.

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Reports Second Quarter 2021 Results
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Reports Second Quarter 2021 Results
July 30 2021 03:00 AM

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (the “Company”) (NYSE:ACRE), a specialty finance company engaged in originating and investing in commercial real estate assets, reported generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) net income of $17.6 million or $0.43 per diluted common share and Distributable Earnings(1) of $15.1 million or $0.37 per diluted common share for the second quarter of 2021. “We reported another strong quarter with Distributable Earnings per sh

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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Schedules Earnings Release and Conference Call for the Second Quarter Ended June 30, 2021
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Schedules Earnings Release and Conference Call for the Second Quarter Ended June 30, 2021
July 22 2021 03:30 AM

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (NYSE: ACRE) announced today that it will report earnings for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021 on Friday, July 30, 2021 prior to the opening of the New York Stock Exchange. Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation will hold its webcast/conference call on the same day at 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time to discuss its second quarter ended June 30, 2021 financial results. All interested parties are invited to participate via telephone

Ares Commercial (ACRE) to Raise $103M From Common Share Offering
Ares Commercial (ACRE) to Raise $103M From Common Share Offering
June 21 2021 07:32 AM

Ares Commercial (ACRE) plans to utilize the net proceeds for share offering to fund investments in mortgage loans and other investments, and repay debt.

Why Shares of Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp Are Falling Today
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June 18 2021 01:15 PM

The company announced the pricing on an issuance of common stock.

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Announces Pricing of Offering of Common Stock
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June 18 2021 03:27 AM

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (the “Company”) (NYSE:ACRE), today announced the pricing of an underwritten public offering of 6,500,000 shares of common stock for total estimated gross proceeds of approximately $102.8 million. The Company has also granted the underwriters an option for 30 days to purchase up to an additional 975,000 shares of common stock. The offering is expected to close on or about June 22, 2021, subject to customary closing conditions. Th

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Announces Launch of Offering of Common Stock
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NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (the "Company") (NYSE:ACRE), today announced the launch of an underwritten public offering of 6,500,000 shares of common stock. The Company expects to grant to the underwriters of the offering an option to purchase up to 975,000 additional shares of common stock. The Company intends to use all of the net proceeds from the offering for general corporate purposes, including investing in mortgage loans and other target assets and i

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) CEO Bryan Donohoe on Q1 2021 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) CEO Bryan Donohoe on Q1 2021 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
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Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
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Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 8.11% and 3.73%, respectively, for the quarter ended March 2021. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Reports First Quarter 2021 Results
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NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (the “Company”) (NYSE:ACRE), a specialty finance company engaged in originating and investing in commercial real estate assets, reported generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) net income of $15.7 million or $0.45 per diluted common share and Distributable Earnings(1) of $13.9 million or $0.40 per diluted common share for the first quarter of 2021. “Our first quarter results mark a strong start to 2021, with significan

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Ares Commercial Real Estate is an originator of large senior mortgage loans. The firm took some losses last year but distributable earnings have bounced back.

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Schedules Earnings Release and Conference Call for the First Quarter Ended March 31, 2021
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April 21 2021 03:30 AM

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (NYSE: ACRE) announced today that it will report earnings for the first quarter ended March 31, 2021 on Tuesday, May 4, 2021 prior to the opening of the New York Stock Exchange. Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation will hold its webcast/conference call on the same day at 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time to discuss its first quarter ended March 31, 2021 financial results. All interested parties are invited to participate via telephone

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ACRE is a commercial mortgage REIT with a conservative investment structure comprised of 94% senior loans. Its dividend yield is around the same as the historical annual return of the S&P 500, making it a good choice for investors who prize income.

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As of late, it has definitely been a great time to be an investor in Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE).

All You Need to Know About Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Rating Upgrade to Buy
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February 23 2021 10:54 AM

Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. This might drive the stock higher in the near term.

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) CEO Bryan Donohoe on Q4 2020 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) CEO Bryan Donohoe on Q4 2020 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) CEO Bryan Donohoe on Q4 2020 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Surpasses Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Surpasses Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
February 18 2021 06:20 AM

Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 17.14% and 4.09%, respectively, for the quarter ended December 2020. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Recap: Ares Commercial Q4 Earnings
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February 18 2021 05:42 AM

Shares of Ares Commercial Real (NYSE:ACRE) moved higher by 2.2% in pre-market trading after the company reported Q4 results. Quarterly Results Earnings per share rose 10.81% over the past year to $0.41, which beat the estimate of $0.35.

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2020 Results
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February 18 2021 04:00 AM

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (the “Company”) (NYSE:ACRE), a specialty finance company engaged in originating and investing in commercial real estate assets, reported generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) net income of $14.4 million or $0.43 per diluted common share and Distributable Earnings(1) of $13.7 million or $0.41 per diluted common share for the fourth quarter of 2020. The Company reported GAAP net income of $21.8 million or $0.66 per dil

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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Closes $667 Million CRE CLO
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Closes $667 Million CRE CLO
January 29 2021 04:30 AM

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (NYSE: ACRE) (the “Company” or “ACRE”) announced today that the Company, through wholly owned indirect subsidiaries, closed an approximately $667 million commercial real estate collateralized loan obligation (“CRE CLO”). The CRE CLO financed interests in 23 senior loans with an initial advance rate of 81% and an initial weighted average coupon of one-month LIBOR + 1.17%, excluding transaction costs. The CRE CLO is match-term, no

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Announces Tax Reporting Information for Calendar Year 2020
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January 28 2021 02:30 PM

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (NYSE: ACRE) (the “Company”) today announced the 2020 tax treatment for the Company's common stock distributions (CUSIP # 04013V-10-8). Form 1099                 Reference:     (Box 1a+2a)     Box 1a   Box 1b   Box 2a   Box 2b   Box 5 Record Date   Payment Date   Cash Distribution Per Share   Distribution Allocable to 2020     Taxable Ordinary Dividends   Taxable Qualified Dividends(1)   Total Capital Gain Distribution   Unrecap

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Schedules Earnings Release for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year Ended December 31, 2020
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Schedules Earnings Release for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year Ended December 31, 2020
January 28 2021 04:30 AM

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (NYSE: ACRE) announced today that it will release financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2020 on Thursday, February 18, 2021 prior to the opening of the New York Stock Exchange. The Company invites all interested persons to attend its webcast/conference call at 12:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on the same day to discuss its fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2020 financial results. All in

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ACRE's conservative portfolio and leverage positioned it very well to weather the COVID-19 impact to its asset base. ACRE's portfolio is 94% senior secured loans, and it pays an effective 3.8% on its liabilities. Current debt to equity ratio is 2.8.

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Declares Fourth Quarter 2020 Dividend
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December 15 2020 02:30 PM

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (“ACRE”) (NYSE:ACRE) announced today that it declared a fourth quarter 2020 cash dividend of $0.33 per common share. The dividend is payable on January 15, 2021 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on December 30, 2020. About Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation is a specialty finance company primarily engaged in originating and investing in commercial real estate loans

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Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Upgraded to Buy: Here
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Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) might move higher on growing optimism about its earnings prospects, which is reflected by its upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) CEO Bryan Donohoe on Q3 2020 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) CEO Bryan Donohoe on Q3 2020 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) CEO Bryan Donohoe on Q3 2020 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
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October 29 2020 04:30 AM

Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 47.62% and 10.56%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2020. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Reports Third Quarter 2020 Results
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October 29 2020 03:00 AM

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (the “Company”) (NYSE:ACRE), a specialty finance company engaged in originating and investing in commercial real estate assets, reported generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) net income of $14.9 million or $0.44 per diluted common share and Core Earnings(1) of $10.5 million or $0.31 per diluted common share for the third quarter of 2020. “This morning, we announced another quarter of consistent earnings with continue

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October 22 2020 09:34 AM

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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Schedules Earnings Release for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2020
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Schedules Earnings Release for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2020
October 16 2020 03:30 AM

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (NYSE: ACRE) announced today that it will release financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2020 on Thursday, October 29, 2020 prior to the opening of the New York Stock Exchange. The Company invites all interested persons to attend its webcast/conference call at 12:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on the same day to discuss its third quarter ended September 30, 2020 financial results. All interested parties are invited

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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Declares Third Quarter 2020 Dividend
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Declares Third Quarter 2020 Dividend
September 16 2020 03:30 AM

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (“ACRE”) (NYSE:ACRE) announced today that it declared a third quarter 2020 cash dividend of $0.33 per common share payable on October 15, 2020 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on September 30, 2020. “We considered multiple factors in our third quarter dividend declaration, including our outlook for third quarter earnings, current cash balance of $84 million and our expected overall liquidity position, among

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp. (ACRE) CEO Bryan Donohoe on Q2 2020 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp. (ACRE) CEO Bryan Donohoe on Q2 2020 Results - Earnings Call Transcript
August 09 2020 03:34 PM

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp. (ACRE) CEO Bryan Donohoe on Q2 2020 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Tops Q2 Earnings Estimates
Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Tops Q2 Earnings Estimates
August 06 2020 09:55 AM

Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 33.33% and -0.55%, respectively, for the quarter ended June 2020. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Reports Second Quarter 2020 Results
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Reports Second Quarter 2020 Results
August 06 2020 03:00 AM

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (the “Company”) (NYSE:ACRE), a specialty finance company engaged in originating and investing in commercial real estate assets, reported generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) net income of $9.8 million or $0.29 per diluted common share and Core Earnings(1) of $10.7 million or $0.32 per diluted common share for the second quarter of 2020. “Despite overall volatile market conditions, our Core Earnings remained consiste

What
What's in the Offing for Ares Commercial (ACRE) Q2 Earnings?
August 04 2020 07:00 AM

Although lower rates are expected to have reduced Ares Commercial's (ACRE) Q2 interest expenses, debt servicing for its senior loans on hotel properties is expected to have been concerning.

Earnings Preview: Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline
Earnings Preview: Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline
July 30 2020 09:33 AM

Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

Join over 100,000 investors who get daily notable Earnings alerts with predicted move.