Predicted Move

Predicted Move (Volatility) Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. The predicted move (volatility) % is based on our proprietary Volatility Prediction Model. We are expecting that stock price may likely move % in either direction by the end of the next regular trading session in Earnings reaction. The move may not necessarily be the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks in Earnings reaction helps in deciding whether to trade stocks or not prior to Earnings announcement.
  2. Taking advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings results by using Options strategies such as Spread and Straddle

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

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Upcoming Notable Earnings

Symbol/Company Earnings Date Predicted Move Since Last Earnings Est EPS
ACN - Accenture PLC Today -
Before Open
3% 0.5% 1.50
CCL - Carnival Corp Today -
Before Open
2% 12.8% 0.47
BBBY - Bed Bath & Beyond Inc Today -
After Close
5% 0% 0.66
BBRY - BlackBerry Ltd Tomorrow -
Before Open
8% 53.2% -0.02
INFO - IHS Markit Ltd Tue 27 Jun -
Before Open (5 Days)
2% 16.6% 0.43
KBH - KB Home Tue 27 Jun -
After Close (5 Days)
5% 15.6% 0.26
GIS - General Mills Inc Wed 28 Jun -
Before Open (6 Days)
1% -6.7% 0.71
AYI - Acuity Brands Inc Thu 29 Jun -
Before Open (7 Days)
7% -26.4% 1.92
RAD - Rite Aid Corp Thu 29 Jun -
Before Open (7 Days)
7% 0% -0.02

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Earnings Date

Market Cap

Average Daily Volume

Predicted Move After Earnings

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Post Notable Earnings Analysis

Symbol/Company Earnings Date EPS Surprise (%) Next Day
Price Change (%)
Since Last
Earnings (%)
KMX - Carmax Inc Wed 21 Jun Before Open (1 days ago) 15.31% 0.81% 0.8%
ORCL - Oracle Corp Wed 21 Jun After Close (1 days ago) 12.33% 0% 0%
SFUN - Fang Holdings Ltd Tue 20 Jun Before Open (2 days ago) 0% -12.84% -7.7%
LEN - Lennar Corp Tue 20 Jun Before Open (2 days ago) 16.67% 2.14% 1%
RHT - Red Hat Inc Tue 20 Jun After Close (2 days ago) 17.65% 9.58% 9.6%
ADBE - Adobe Systems Inc Tue 20 Jun After Close (2 days ago) 5.19% 2.36% 2.4%
KR - Kroger Co Thu 15 Jun Before Open (7 days ago) 1.75% -18.89% -26.1%
FNSR - Finisar Corp Thu 15 Jun After Close (7 days ago) 5% 8.39% 5.8%
JBL - Jabil Circuit Inc Wed 14 Jun After Close (8 days ago) -4.55% -3.89% -5%

Earnings News

Hain's accounting review finds no need to restate earnings; shares surge 4%

With the filing of Hain's financial results, the company is now current with all its reporting obligations with the SEC.

CNBC  Thu, 22 Jun 2017 12:21 GMT

The market misunderstood Oracle, analyst says

The tech company's stock surged in after-hours trading after an earnings report that surpassed Wall Street expectations.

CNBC  Wed, 21 Jun 2017 23:09 GMT

Oracle shares jump as much as 9 percent after earnings top estimates

Oracle's cloud growth helped the company beat analysts' estimates for earnings.

CNBC  Wed, 21 Jun 2017 20:15 GMT

FedEx gains 2% after earnings beat

The stock has gained more than 12 percent so far this year, outperforming the Dow Jones Transportation Average.

CNBC  Tue, 20 Jun 2017 20:30 GMT

Lennar's profit beats as home sales gain steam

Lennar, the No. 2 U.S. homebuilder, reported a higher-than-expected quarterly profit, as it sold more homes at higher prices.

CNBC  Tue, 20 Jun 2017 10:37 GMT

Kroger sinks 13% on outlook warning; CFO blames deflation and competition

Kroger CFO Mike Schlotman tells CNBC the outlook was hurt in part by "deflation on top of deflation."

CNBC  Thu, 15 Jun 2017 13:48 GMT

Saks owner Hudson's Bay to cut 2,000 jobs as loss widens more than expected

Saks Fifth Avenue owner Hudson's Bay said on Thursday it would cut about 2,000 jobs across North America in a major restructuring effort.

CNBC  Fri, 09 Jun 2017 10:01 GMT

Cloudera shares plunge 15% after first quarterly report since IPO

Key industry measures like deferred revenue and billings fell short of Wall Street's projections.

CNBC  Thu, 08 Jun 2017 22:15 GMT

Uber's financials are improving: it lost $708 million on $3.4 billion in revenue in Q1

Uber reported a loss of $708 million in the first quarter, and finance chief Gautam Gupta is leaving.

CNBC  Thu, 01 Jun 2017 02:02 GMT

Nutanix soars after revenue tops estimates

Nutanix rallied as the company's earnings reported showed that businesses are flocking to its cloud technology.

CNBC  Thu, 25 May 2017 21:06 GMT

Lowe's stock falls on earnings, sales miss

Lowe's also reaffirms that it expects revenue to increase roughly 5 percent by the end of the year.

CNBC  Wed, 24 May 2017 12:30 GMT

Wal-Mart earnings top Street estimates as retailer's digital sales jump 63%

Wal-Mart reported earnings before the bell Thursday that beat Street estimates, but revenue fell short.

CNBC  Thu, 18 May 2017 12:52 GMT

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