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Predicted Move

Predicted Move (Volatility) Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. The predicted move (volatility) % is based on our proprietary Volatility Prediction Model. We are expecting that stock price may likely move % in either direction by the end of the next regular trading session in Earnings reaction. The move may not necessarily be the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks in Earnings reaction helps in deciding whether to trade stocks or not prior to Earnings announcement.
  2. Taking advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings results by using Options strategies such as Spread and Straddle

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

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Upcoming Notable Earnings

Symbol/Company Earnings Date Predicted Move Since Last Earnings Est EPS
PSTG - Pure Storage Inc Tue 28 Nov -
After Close (4 Days)
10% 46% -0.23
NUAN - Nuance Communications Inc Tue 28 Nov -
After Close (4 Days)
6% -14% 0.05
ADSK - Autodesk Inc Tue 28 Nov -
After Close (4 Days)
5% 15.5% -0.33
MRVL - Marvell Technology Group Ltd Tue 28 Nov -
After Close (4 Days)
5% 50.3% 0.28
WDAY - Workday Inc Wed 29 Nov -
After Close (5 Days)
6% 7.1% -0.42
BOX - Box Inc Wed 29 Nov -
After Close (5 Days)
5% 19.8% -0.29
KR - Kroger Co Thu 30 Nov -
Before Open (6 Days)
4% 1.6% 0.40
NTNX - Nutanix Inc Thu 30 Nov -
After Close (6 Days)
10% 50.8% -0.56
ULTA - Ulta Salon Cosmetics and Fragrance Inc Thu 30 Nov -
After Close (6 Days)
8% -9.2% 1.66

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Earnings Date

Market Cap

Average Daily Volume

Predicted Move After Earnings

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Post Notable Earnings Analysis

Symbol/Company Earnings Date EPS Surprise (%) Next Day
Price Change (%)
Since Last
Earnings (%)
DE - Deere & Co Wed 22 Nov Before Open (2 days ago) 7.53% 4.32% 4.3%
DSW - DSW Inc Tue 21 Nov Before Open (3 days ago) -15.09% -13.23% -9.8%
BURL - Burlington Stores Inc Tue 21 Nov Before Open (3 days ago) 7.69% -1.51% -4.1%
SIG - Signet Jewelers Ltd Tue 21 Nov Before Open (3 days ago) 0% -30.39% -30.1%
CHS - Chico's FAS Inc Tue 21 Nov Before Open (3 days ago) 0% -3.07% 2.7%
DLTR - Dollar Tree Inc Tue 21 Nov Before Open (3 days ago) 12.22% 2.42% 2.7%
LOW - Lowe's Companies Inc Tue 21 Nov Before Open (3 days ago) 2.94% -1.07% -2.3%
HRL - Hormel Foods Corp Tue 21 Nov Before Open (3 days ago) 2.5% 3.35% 2.6%
CPB - Campbell Soup Co Tue 21 Nov Before Open (3 days ago) -5.15% -8.19% -6.3%

Earnings News

Deere tops 4th-quarter estimates, sees strong earnings in 2018

U.S. tractor maker Deere's profit rose 79 percent year-over-year in the fourth quarter, as it sold more farm machinery in overseas markets.

CNBC  Wed, 22 Nov 2017 11:22 GMT

Meg Whitman to leave role as CEO of Hewlett Packard Enterprise, shares tumble 6%

President Antonio Neri will take on the role of CEO as of Feb. 1, 2018.

CNBC  Wed, 22 Nov 2017 00:14 GMT

Salesforce forecasts fourth-quarter profit below expectations, shares sink

Salesforce beat analysts' estimates with 39 cents in earnings per share and $2.68 billion in revenue for the quarter that ended on Oct. 31.

CNBC  Tue, 21 Nov 2017 20:40 GMT

Shoe retailer DSW stock plunges after company blames hurricanes for earnings miss

Shares of shoe retailer DSW tumble after the company posted disappointing earnings.

CNBC  Tue, 21 Nov 2017 14:06 GMT

Dollar Tree profit beats estimates on higher customer traffic

Dollar Tree reported third-quarter comparable store sales that beat Wall Street estimates, helped by higher customer traffic and spending at its stores.

CNBC  Tue, 21 Nov 2017 12:43 GMT

Campbell Soup's quarterly revenue falls 2%

Campbell Soup reported a 2 percent drop in quarterly revenue on Tuesday on lower retailer inventory and weak demand for its V8 vegetable juices.

CNBC  Tue, 21 Nov 2017 12:41 GMT

Lowe's sales top Street expectations, boosted by hurricane-related purchases

Lowe's expects revenue to increase about 5 percent by the end of fiscal 2017.

CNBC  Tue, 21 Nov 2017 11:00 GMT

Foot Locker shares surge the most in 40 years after earnings beat

Foot Locker shares rose 30 percent Friday after it beat earnings expectations, on track for best day since 1977.

CNBC  Fri, 17 Nov 2017 15:05 GMT

Abercrombie results — and its shares — surge on jump in sales of surfwear brand Hollister

Abercrombie & Fitch posted quarterly same-store sales growth after more than a year of declines and forecast robust sales for the holiday quarter.

CNBC  Fri, 17 Nov 2017 14:25 GMT

Sports retail stocks jump after upbeat reports

Shares of sports retailers soared on Friday after Foot Locker, Shoe Carnival, and Hibbett Sports reported better-than-expected quarterly profits.

CNBC  Fri, 17 Nov 2017 14:17 GMT

L Brands shares drop on Victoria's Secret struggles

The lingerie brand has struggled since exiting its swim and apparel business.

CNBC  Thu, 16 Nov 2017 14:34 GMT

JM Smucker beats profit estimates on boost from prices hikes

J.M. Smucker's profit topped analysts' forecasts, as it reined in costs and benefited from higher prices for products such as Jif peanut butter.

CNBC  Thu, 16 Nov 2017 13:20 GMT

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