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Predicted Move

Predicted Move (Volatility) Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. The predicted move (volatility) % is based on our proprietary Volatility Prediction Model. We are expecting that stock price may likely move % in either direction by the end of the next regular trading session in Earnings reaction. The move may not necessarily be the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks in Earnings reaction helps in deciding whether to trade stocks or not prior to Earnings announcement.
  2. Taking advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings results by using Options strategies such as Spread and Straddle

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

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Upcoming Notable Earnings

Symbol/Company Earnings Date Predicted Move Since Last Earnings Est EPS
JBL - Jabil Circuit Inc Thu 14 Dec -
After Close (2 Days)
6% -1.4% 0.73
ADBE - Adobe Systems Inc Thu 14 Dec -
After Close (2 Days)
5% 11.3% 0.96
ORCL - Oracle Corp Thu 14 Dec -
After Close (2 Days)
4% -4.4% 0.62
COST - Costco Wholesale Corp Thu 14 Dec -
After Close (2 Days)
1% 0% 1.35
MU - Micron Technology Inc Tue 19 Dec -
After Close (7 Days)
7% 25.8% 2.12
RHT - Red Hat Inc Tue 19 Dec -
After Close (7 Days)
6% 19.7% 0.50
BB - Wed 20 Dec -
Before Open (8 Days)
12% 14.4% -0.03
GIS - General Mills Inc Wed 20 Dec -
Before Open (8 Days)
1% 0.9% 0.82
BBBY - Bed Bath & Beyond Inc Wed 20 Dec -
After Close (8 Days)
5% -13.9% 0.37

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Earnings Date

Market Cap

Average Daily Volume

Predicted Move After Earnings

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Post Notable Earnings Analysis

Symbol/Company Earnings Date EPS Surprise (%) Next Day
Price Change (%)
Since Last
Earnings (%)
CIEN - Ciena Corp Thu 7 Dec Before Open (5 days ago) -9.09% -1.94% 2.8%
DG - Dollar General Corp Thu 7 Dec Before Open (5 days ago) 4.26% 2.77% 2.8%
FNSR - Finisar Corp Thu 7 Dec After Close (5 days ago) -45% 1.22% 9.8%
AEO - American Eagle Outfitters Inc Wed 6 Dec Before Open (6 days ago) -5.13% 2.42% 9.4%
HRB - H & R Block Inc Wed 6 Dec Before Open (6 days ago) 2.74% 10.27% 4.6%
LULU - Lululemon Athletica Inc Wed 6 Dec After Close (6 days ago) 7.69% 6.43% 8.8%
AVGO - Broadcom Ltd Wed 6 Dec After Close (6 days ago) 5.84% 0% -1.5%
HDS - HD Supply Holdings Inc Tue 5 Dec Before Open (7 days ago) 6.67% 6.33% 6.8%
RH - RH Tue 5 Dec After Close (7 days ago) 0% 0.8% -0.7%

Earnings News

Verizon will launch over-the-top service before year-end with NFL as key piece, analyst predicts

Verizon will leave its earnings "plateau" behind in 2018 thanks to its new over-the-top deal, according to Nomura.

CNBC  Tue, 12 Dec 2017 14:44 GMT

On Main Street the bigger you are, the better tax reform looks: CNBC/SurveyMonkey

The bigger a small businesses is, the more bullish it is on Trump's tax reform plan, CNBC/SurveyMonkey survey reveals.

CNBC  Mon, 11 Dec 2017 15:37 GMT

American Eagle forecasts strong holiday-quarter earnings

American Eagle Outfitters forecast strong earnings for the key holiday season and delivered third-quarter comparable sales ahead of Wall Street targets.

CNBC  Wed, 06 Dec 2017 14:00 GMT

Kroger forecasts upbeat holiday-quarter, beats Street view

Kroger forecast upbeat same-store sales for the holiday quarter and reported higher-than-expected third-quarter results.

CNBC  Thu, 30 Nov 2017 14:59 GMT

Sears reports narrower loss, but sales mark sixth year of declines

Last month, Sears said it struck a deal that allow for the sale of 140 Sears properties.

CNBC  Thu, 30 Nov 2017 10:33 GMT

Jeweler Tiffany's third-quarter sales rises 3%

Jeweler Tiffany's sales rose 3 percent in the third quarter, helped by strong demand for its fashion jewelry.

CNBC  Wed, 29 Nov 2017 11:50 GMT

Uber's third-quarter loss widens to $743 million

Uber's quarterly adjusted losses widened to $743 million, up 14 percent from the previous quarter, the FT reported.

CNBC  Wed, 29 Nov 2017 05:20 GMT

UnitedHealth shares dip on disappointing earnings forecast for 2018

The insurer projects revenue of $223 billion and $225 billion for 2018, only marginally higher than analysts estimated.

CNBC  Mon, 27 Nov 2017 22:06 GMT

Deere tops 4th-quarter estimates, sees strong earnings in 2018

U.S. tractor maker Deere's profit rose 79 percent year-over-year in the fourth quarter, as it sold more farm machinery in overseas markets.

CNBC  Wed, 22 Nov 2017 11:22 GMT

Meg Whitman to leave role as CEO of Hewlett Packard Enterprise, shares tumble 6%

President Antonio Neri will take on the role of CEO as of Feb. 1, 2018.

CNBC  Wed, 22 Nov 2017 00:14 GMT

Salesforce forecasts fourth-quarter profit below expectations, shares sink

Salesforce beat analysts' estimates with 39 cents in earnings per share and $2.68 billion in revenue for the quarter that ended on Oct. 31.

CNBC  Tue, 21 Nov 2017 20:40 GMT

Shoe retailer DSW stock plunges after company blames hurricanes for earnings miss

Shares of shoe retailer DSW tumble after the company posted disappointing earnings.

CNBC  Tue, 21 Nov 2017 14:06 GMT

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