AMGN - Amgen Inc Earnings Report Date

Save Stock and Get Earnings Reminders with Predicted Move

Earnings Date

:Tue 27 Jan (In -37 Days)  After Market Close (Confirmed)

Predicted Move

: tooltip 2%

Following Earnings result, share price were DOWN 13 times out of last 22 Qtrs

So, Historical price reaction suggests 59% probability for share price to go DOWN following ER!

Stock Exchange: Nasdaq
Market Cap: 120.8B
Avg Daily Vol / Next Day Vol: 3,596,880 / 8,845,190
PE Ratio: 23.67
Short Ratio: 2.60
52W Range: 108.20 - 173.14
Predicted Move on 7th Day: tooltip 3%
Estimated EPS: 2.05

More on :Yahoo Finance Google Finance

Options Strategy
Sell Weekly Put Options @ $154.00- Exp Date 1/30/2015 12:00:00 AM

Since Last Earnings

tooltip
7.4%
Price at Last Earnings: 148.20 Previous Closing Price: 159.19
   
Total Beat: 11 (91%)      Total Meet: 0 (0%)      Total Miss: 1 (8%)

Historical Price Change in Earnings

Earning Date Closing Price
Before Earning
Next Day
Closing Price
Next Day
Price Change (%)
Next Day
Volume
Next 7 Day
Closing Price
Next 7 Day
Price Change (%)
01/27/2015 158.89 154.64 -2.67% 4,631,200 152.23 -4.19%
10/27/2014 148.20 157.19 6.07% 11,623,200 161.56 9.01%
07/29/2014 123.31 130.01 5.43% 8,465,700 127.88 3.71%
04/22/2014 119.30 113.32 -5.01% 10,965,800 111.90 -6.20%
01/28/2014 120.70 119.17 -1.27% 5,730,400 115.78 -4.08%
10/22/2013 116.21 115.67 -0.46% 3,365,200 118.27 1.77%

Historical Volatility Next Day tooltip

Earning Date Open Price Low Price High Price Close Price % Volatility
(High-Low)
% Closing
Price Change
01/27/2015 158.32 154.51 160.91 154.64 4.10% -2.67%
10/27/2014 151.75 151.47 157.25 157.19 3.80% 6.07%
07/29/2014 128.63 128.63 131.24 130.01 2.00% 5.43%
04/22/2014 116.07 111.51 116.45 113.32 4.40% -5.01%
01/28/2014 117.00 117.00 121.16 119.17 3.60% -1.27%
10/22/2013 114.94 114.10 116.15 115.67 1.80% -0.46%

Predicted Move (Volatility)

Predicted Move (Volatility) Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. The predicted move (volatility) % is based on our proprietary Volatility Prediction Model. We are expecting that stock price may likely move % in either direction by the end of the next regular trading session in Earnings reaction. The move may not necessarily be the closing volatility %.

Why is it Important?

1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks in Earnings reaction helps in deciding whether to trade stocks or not prior to Earnings announcement.
2. Taking advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings results by using Options strategies such as Spread and Straddle

Predicted Move (Volatility) - 7th Days

Expected volatility on 7th day since Earnings results.

Why is it Important?

Higher Upside reaction on 7th day
  • If historical price change on 7th day is higher than price change on next day, stock tends to gain more from Earnings result. It supports Buy In Post-Earnings strategy.

Lower Upside reaction on 7th day
  • If historical price change on 7th day is less than price change on next day, stock tends to give up from next price gain. It supports Sell In News strategy.

Further Downside reaction on 7th day
  • If historical price change on 7th day is less than next day drop, stock tends to drop even more from Earnings result.

Less Downside reaction on 7th day
  • If historical price change on 7th day is less than next day drop, stock tends to recover from next price drop. It supports Buy In Dip strategy.

% Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside

When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

Historical Volatility Next Day

Next Day Volatility (% Day High - % Day Low). It is a different from % closing price.

Why is it Important?

It is a very helpful indicator for gap trading because you could have a company that swings 5% +- but their final percent move is only a fraction.

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