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Predicted Move

Predicted Move (Volatility) Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. The predicted move (volatility) % is based on our proprietary Volatility Prediction Model. We are expecting that stock price may likely move % in either direction by the end of the next regular trading session in Earnings reaction. The move may not necessarily be the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks in Earnings reaction helps in deciding whether to trade stocks or not prior to Earnings announcement.
  2. Taking advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings results by using Options strategies such as Spread and Straddle

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

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Upcoming Notable Earnings

Symbol/Company Earnings Date Predicted Move Since Last Earnings Est EPS
EXPR - Express Inc Today -
Before Open
9% 0% 0.17
HPQ - HP Inc Today -
After Close
6% 19.4% 0.44
WDAY - Workday Inc Today -
After Close
6% 5.4% -0.02
PVH - PVH Corp Today -
After Close
5% 22% 1.29
WSM - Williams-Sonoma Inc Today -
After Close
5% 4.2% 0.58
SFUN - SouFun Holdings Ltd Tomorrow -
Before Open
5% -13.9% -0.10
TIF - Tiffany & Co Tomorrow -
Before Open
4% 8.3% 0.71
SIG - Signet Jewelers Ltd Tomorrow -
Before Open
4% -12.3% 1.47
DG - Dollar General Corp Tomorrow -
Before Open
3% 8.7% 1.09

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Earnings Date

Market Cap

Average Daily Value

Predicted Move After Earning

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Post Notable Earnings Analysis

Symbol/Company Earnings Date EPS Surprise (%) Next Day
Price Change (%)
Since Last
Earnings (%)
BBY - Best Buy Co Inc Tue 23 Aug Before Open (1 days ago) 35.71% 19.6% 19.6%
EL - Estee Lauder Companies Inc Fri 19 Aug Before Open (5 days ago) 7.5% -3.54% -3.7%
FL - Foot Locker Inc Fri 19 Aug Before Open (5 days ago) 3.3% 11.04% 11%
DE - Deere & Co Fri 19 Aug Before Open (5 days ago) 63.16% 13.49% 14.5%
HRL - Hormel Foods Corp Thu 18 Aug Before Open (6 days ago) 5.88% 1.9% 7.5%
WMT - Wal Mart Stores Inc Thu 18 Aug Before Open (6 days ago) 4.9% 1.88% -1.3%
AMAT - Applied Materials Inc Thu 18 Aug After Close (6 days ago) 6.38% 7.08% 8.2%
ROST - Ross Stores Inc Thu 18 Aug After Close (6 days ago) 5.97% 3.47% 2.3%
GPS - Gap Inc Thu 18 Aug After Close (6 days ago) 1.69% 3.9% 4.3%

Earnings News

Intuit stock falls after weak first quarter guidance

Intuit shares slipped more than 3 percent Wednesday after the company said it expects a weak first-quarter.

CNBC  Wed, 24 Aug 2016 20:51 GMT

Express shares plummet after disappointing sales from weak store traffic

Shares of Express sink after the company reported weaker-than-expected quarterly sales and earnings.

CNBC  Wed, 24 Aug 2016 20:51 GMT

Analysts expect little luster from jewelers earnings

Earnings reports this week from Tiffany and Signet Jewelers should highlight the ongoing difficulties in the jewelry retail space.

CNBC  Wed, 24 Aug 2016 11:08 GMT

Toll Brothers shares gain 9%, on track for best day since Oct 2011

Toll Brothers reported a rise in revenue for the fourth straight quarter, beating analysts' estimates.

CNBC  Tue, 23 Aug 2016 18:15 GMT

Best Buy shares soar 15% on surprise rise in same-store sales

Best Buy reported a surprise rise in quarterly comparable-stores sales, helped by strong demand for appliances and consumer electronics.

CNBC  Tue, 23 Aug 2016 14:11 GMT

Estee Lauder shares slide after sales, guidance miss

Cosmetics maker Estee Lauder reported a smaller-than-expected rise in quarterly sales and disappointing guidance.

CNBC  Fri, 19 Aug 2016 20:23 GMT

Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant help lift Foot Locker's sales

Foot Locker reported an acceleration in sales from the first quarter.

CNBC  Fri, 19 Aug 2016 20:22 GMT

Deere shares jump 13%, plows past Street, boosts forecast

Deere stock rallied Friday after the farm equipment maker beat on fiscal third-quarter results and raised guidance.

CNBC  Fri, 19 Aug 2016 18:58 GMT

Deere posts lower quarterly profit, raises full-year outlook

Deere posted lower quarterly earnings on Friday as the soft global agricultural economy depressed sales of its farming machinery.

CNBC  Fri, 19 Aug 2016 11:09 GMT

Shares of 58.com plummet 14% after the company gives disappointing guidance

Shares fell more than 14 percent on Thursday after giving disappointing fiscal third-quarter guidance.

CNBC  Thu, 18 Aug 2016 20:22 GMT

NetApp shares surge after easily topping earnings expectations

Shares of NetApp spiked more than 17 percent after the company beat earnings and revenue estimates.

CNBC  Thu, 18 Aug 2016 20:18 GMT

Victoria's Secret owner's shares jump after surprising investors on earnings

Shares of L Brands are trading higher Thursday after the retailer beat analysts' expectations a day earlier.

CNBC  Thu, 18 Aug 2016 20:16 GMT

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