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Predicted Move

Predicted Move (Volatility) Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. The predicted move (volatility) % is based on our proprietary Volatility Prediction Model. We are expecting that stock price may likely move % in either direction by the end of the next regular trading session in Earnings reaction. The move may not necessarily be the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks in Earnings reaction helps in deciding whether to trade stocks or not prior to Earnings announcement.
  2. Taking advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings results by using Options strategies such as Spread and Straddle

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

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Upcoming Notable Earnings

Symbol/Company Earnings Date Predicted Move Since Last Earnings Est EPS
PAY - Verifone Systems Inc Mon 12 Dec -
After Close (3 Days)
9% -16.9% 0.20
JBL - Jabil Circuit Inc Thu 15 Dec -
After Close (6 Days)
6% -9.4% 0.58
ADBE - Adobe Systems Inc Thu 15 Dec -
After Close (6 Days)
5% 0.9% 0.72
ORCL - Oracle Corp Thu 15 Dec -
After Close (6 Days)
4% -3.4% 0.56
LEN - Lennar Corp Mon 19 Dec -
Before Open (10 Days)
3% -3.7% 1.27
BBRY - BlackBerry Ltd Tue 20 Dec -
Before Open (11 Days)
9% -3.9% -0.04
KMX - Carmax Inc Tue 20 Dec -
Before Open (11 Days)
6% 8.5% 0.71
GIS - General Mills Inc Tue 20 Dec -
Before Open (11 Days)
1% -5.7% 0.88
NKE - Nike Inc Tue 20 Dec -
After Close (11 Days)
5% -8.6% 0.43

Stocks Screener for Earnings

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Earnings Date

Market Cap

Average Daily Volume

Predicted Move After Earnings

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Post Notable Earnings Analysis

Symbol/Company Earnings Date EPS Surprise (%) Next Day
Price Change (%)
Since Last
Earnings (%)
LULU - Lululemon Athletica Inc Wed 7 Dec Before Open (2 days ago) 9.3% 0% -25.2%
HRB - H & R Block Inc Wed 7 Dec After Close (2 days ago) 1.47% 0% -5.3%
COST - Costco Wholesale Corp Wed 7 Dec After Close (2 days ago) -1.68% 0% 2.4%
HDS - HD Supply Holdings Inc Tue 6 Dec Before Open (3 days ago) 1.22% 2.87% 2.9%
DG - Dollar General Corp Thu 1 Dec Before Open (8 days ago) -3.26% -4.97% -2.1%
KR - Kroger Co Thu 1 Dec Before Open (8 days ago) -2.38% 3.28% 2.4%
ULTA - Ulta Salon Cosmetics and Fragrance Inc Thu 1 Dec After Close (8 days ago) 2.19% -1.56% -1.2%
SWHC - Smith & Wesson Holding Corp Thu 1 Dec After Close (8 days ago) 23.64% -12.01% -12.9%
WDAY - Workday Inc Thu 1 Dec After Close (8 days ago) 1.96% -12.5% -9.9%

Earnings News

Upbeat profit forecast boosts UnitedHealth shares to record high

UnitedHealth reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings in October and raised its 2016 profit forecast.

CNBC  Tue, 29 Nov 2016 21:33 GMT

Jeweler Tiffany posts first increase in sales in 8 quarters

Tiffany reported its first rise in sales in eight quarters as strong sales in China and Japan more than offset a decline in the U.S.

CNBC  Tue, 29 Nov 2016 12:36 GMT

Deere posts lower quarterly earnings as sales remain sluggish

Deere posted lower earnings as a farm recession and weak construction equipment markets kept heavy machinery sales slow.

CNBC  Wed, 23 Nov 2016 21:34 GMT

Dollar Tree's profit beats estimates as merchandise costs fall

Dollar Tree's shares gained 8.16 percent on Tuesday, closing at $88.68.

CNBC  Tue, 22 Nov 2016 21:10 GMT

Cisco CEO talks up prospects after outlook warning slams the stock

Cisco's challenges will subside as growth opportunities emerge in the U.S. and tensions ease, CEO Chuck Robbins says.

CNBC  Thu, 17 Nov 2016 15:10 GMT

Wal-Mart beats on earnings, raises lower end of guidance, but revenue falls short

Wal-Mart's U.S. comparable sales came in just shy of what analysts were expecting, at 1.2 percent growth.

CNBC  Thu, 17 Nov 2016 13:12 GMT

Best Buy's same-store sales beat estimates

Best Buy reported better-than-expected comparable-store sales, helped by higher demand for consumer electronics and mobile phones.

CNBC  Thu, 17 Nov 2016 12:13 GMT

First Solar 2017 sales forecast misses; to slash 27% jobs

First Solar forecast sales well below estimates, and said it would slash about 1,600 jobs as it transitions to a new product ahead of schedule.

CNBC  Thu, 17 Nov 2016 11:50 GMT

Lowe's misses on earnings and revenue; stock sinks

Lowe's CEO Robert Niblock says store traffic slowed more than anticipated in August and September.

CNBC  Wed, 16 Nov 2016 18:25 GMT

Target shares soar as sales, earnings top Wall Street forecasts; raises guidance

Target saw a boost in traffic and sales trends during the fiscal third quarter.

CNBC  Wed, 16 Nov 2016 12:25 GMT

Tencent Q3 profit misses forecasts, expenses offset revenue surge

Tencent posted a lower-than-expected rise in profit as expenses for media and advertising took a bite out of its strong revenue growth.

CNBC  Wed, 16 Nov 2016 10:58 GMT

Dick's Sporting Goods shares plunge on weak guidance

Shares of Dick's Sporting Goods fell nearly 8 percent on Tuesday after it released its third quarter earnings report.

CNBC  Tue, 15 Nov 2016 21:06 GMT

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