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Predicted Move

Predicted Move (Volatility) Similar to Implied Volatility in Options. The predicted move (volatility) % is based on our proprietary Volatility Prediction Model. We are expecting that stock price may likely move % in either direction by the end of the next regular trading session in Earnings reaction. The move may not necessarily be the closing volatility %.

Why is it important?

  1. Knowing expected volatility in stocks in Earnings reaction helps in deciding whether to trade stocks or not prior to Earnings announcement.
  2. Taking advantage of volatility collapse following Earnings results by using Options strategies such as Spread and Straddle

Since Last Earnings

Change in share price since last Earnings release.

Why is it Important?

When share has gained more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor bad news and give up some gains if not all. So, it contains more downside volatility than upside When share has dropped more than 10% since it's last Earning release, it tends to over react to minor good news and recover some drops if not all. So, it contains more upside volatility than downside.

EPS Surprise (%)

Occurs when a company's reported quarterly or annual profits are above or below analysts' expectations. Here is the formula to derive % EPS Surprice:

Actual EPS - Estimated EPS
------------------------------------- x 100
Estimated EPS

Why is it Important?

Earnings surprises can have a huge impact on a company's stock price. Several studies suggest that positive earnings surprises not only lead to an immediate hike in a stock's price, but also to a gradual increase over time. Hence, it's not surprising that some companies are known for routinely beating earning projections. A negative earnings surprise will usually result in a decline in share price.

Next Day Price Change (%)

Next Regular trading session Closing price following Earnings result.

For After Market Close Earnings, It is a next trading day closing price. For Before Market Open Earnings, It is the same trading day closing price.

Why is it Important?

Next Day price change is a reaction of Earnings result.

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Upcoming Notable Earnings

Symbol/Company Earnings Date Predicted Move Since Last Earnings Est EPS
ACN - Accenture PLC Today -
Before Open
3% -2% 1.3
CAG - ConAgra Foods Inc Today -
Before Open
2% -9.4% 0.48
PEP - PepsiCo Inc Today -
Before Open
1% 3.5% 1.32
COST - Costco Wholesale Corp Today -
After Close
1% 3.4% 1.73
MU - Micron Technology Inc Tue 4 Oct -
After Close (5 Days)
7% 0% -0.09
GPN - Global Payments Inc Wed 5 Oct -
Before Open (6 Days)
5% -2.1% 0.79
MON - Monsanto Co Wed 5 Oct -
Before Open (6 Days)
2% 0% -0.02
YUM - Yum! Brands Inc Wed 5 Oct -
After Close (6 Days)
3% 5.2% 1.09
AA - Alcoa Inc Mon 10 Oct -
After Close (11 Days)
3% 0% 0.11

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Earnings Date

Market Cap

Average Daily Volume

Predicted Move After Earnings

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Post Notable Earnings Analysis

Symbol/Company Earnings Date EPS Surprise (%) Next Day
Price Change (%)
Since Last
Earnings (%)
BBRY - BlackBerry Ltd Wed 28 Sep Before Open (1 days ago) 70% 5.71% 5.7%
PAYX - Paychex Inc Wed 28 Sep Before Open (1 days ago) 5.26% -4.6% -4.6%
NKE - Nike Inc Tue 27 Sep After Close (2 days ago) 30.36% -3.78% -3.8%
CCL - Carnival Corp Mon 26 Sep Before Open (3 days ago) 1.59% -1.67% 3.2%
RAD - Rite Aid Corp Thu 22 Sep Before Open (7 days ago) 0% 0.25% -4.7%
KMX - Carmax Inc Wed 21 Sep Before Open (8 days ago) 0% -2.04% -4.7%
GIS - General Mills Inc Wed 21 Sep Before Open (8 days ago) 2.63% 0.87% -1%
JBL - Jabil Circuit Inc Wed 21 Sep After Close (8 days ago) 75% -5.6% -7.3%
RHT - Red Hat Inc Wed 21 Sep After Close (8 days ago) 5.71% 3.87% 4.6%

Earnings News

General Mills sales fall for fifth straight quarter

General Mills reported a drop in sales for the fifth straight quarter, hurt mainly by weak demand for its Yoplait yogurt and Progresso soup.

CNBC  Wed, 21 Sep 2016 11:34 GMT

Adobe's revenue rises for 10th quarter in a row

Adobe Systems reported a 20 percent rise in quarterly revenue, the tenth straight quarter of increase, as the company added more subscribers.

CNBC  Tue, 20 Sep 2016 20:56 GMT

FedEx earnings beat estimates

The shipping giant is considered an indicator of economic conditions in the United States.

CNBC  Tue, 20 Sep 2016 20:30 GMT

Ascena shares plunge after earnings miss, weaker-than-expected guidance

Ascena Retail Group plummeted after it missed its fourth quarter profit forecasts, which follows a loss in the same period last year.

CNBC  Tue, 20 Sep 2016 20:12 GMT

Homebuilders tumble on weak housing data, Lennar outlook

Homebuilders tumble on weak housing data

CNBC  Tue, 20 Sep 2016 20:08 GMT

Homebuilder Lennar's profit, revenue tops estimates; orders rise

Lennar reported higher-than-expected quarterly profit and revenue as it sold more homes at higher prices and the company said orders rose 8.1 percent.

CNBC  Tue, 20 Sep 2016 11:48 GMT

Oracle's profit forecast misses estimates; shares slip

Oracle forecast lower-than-expected profit as growth in its cloud-based business fails to make up for weakness in its traditional software offerings.

CNBC  Fri, 16 Sep 2016 10:37 GMT

US elections weigh on Barnes & Noble same-store sales forecast

Barnes & Noble said it now expected full-year comparable sales to fall as Americans stay indoors to follow the U.S. elections coverage.

CNBC  Thu, 08 Sep 2016 16:08 GMT

VeriFone shares on track for worst day in 3 months after giving dismal guidance

Shares of VeriFone Systems plunged on Friday after the company gave dismal fourth-quarter guidance.

CNBC  Fri, 02 Sep 2016 20:43 GMT

Lululemon same-store sales fall short, sending shares lower

Lululemon Athletica reported comparable sales growth that fell short of analyst estimates, sending shares down nearly 9 percent.

CNBC  Fri, 02 Sep 2016 10:38 GMT

Campbell Soup reports 'disappointing' fresh, organic foods sales

Campbell Soup posted a slight fall in quarterly sales and called the performance of its fresh and organic foods "disappointing."

CNBC  Thu, 01 Sep 2016 11:34 GMT

Cloud management company Box's quarterly revenue jumps 30%

Its net loss narrowed to $38.1 million, or 30 cents per share, in the second quarter from $50.2 million, or 42 cents per share, a year earlier.

CNBC  Thu, 01 Sep 2016 10:37 GMT

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